Professor Valerio Lucarini - Department of Mathematics and Statistics

Alberti, T. , Faranda, D. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Donner, R. , Dubrulle, B. , Daviaud, F. (2023) Scale dependence of fractal dimension in deterministic and stochastic Lorenz-63 systems. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science , 33 (2). ISSN: 1089-7682 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0106053
Alberti, T. , Daviaud, F. , Donner, R. , Dubrulle, B. , Faranda, D. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2023) Chameleon attractors in turbulent flows. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals , 168 ISSN: 0960-0779 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113195
Zagli, N. , Pavliotis, G. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Alecio, A. (2023) Dimension reduction of noisy interacting systems. Physical Review Research , 5 (1). ISSN: 2643-1564 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevResearch.5.013078
Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Galfi, V. , Riboldi, J. , Messori, G. (2023) Typicality of the 2021 Western North America summer heatwave. Environmental Research Letters , 18 (1). ISSN: 1748-9326 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/acab77

Santos Gutiérrez, M. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2022) On some aspects of the response to stochastic and deterministic forcings. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical , 55 (42). ISSN: 1751-8113 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/ac90fd
Lembo, V. , Fabiano, F. , Galfi, V. , Graversen, R. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Messori, G. (2022) Meridional energy transport extremes and the general circulation of Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes: dominant weather regimes and preferred zonal wavenumbers. Weather and Climate Dynamics , 3 (3). pp. 1037-1062. ISSN: 2698-4016 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-1037-2022
Margazoglou, G. , Biferale, L. , Cencini, M. , Gallavotti, G. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2022) Nonequilibrium ensembles for the three-dimensional Navier-Stokes equations.. Physical Review E , 105 (6). pp 0. ISSN: 2470-0053 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.105.065110
Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Serdukova, L. , Margazoglou, G. (2022) Lévy-noise versus Gaussian-noise-induced transitions in the Ghil-Sellers energy balance model. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 29 pp. 183-205. ISSN: 1023-5809 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-29-183-2022
Maiocchi, C. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Gritsun, A. (2022) Decomposing the dynamics of the Lorenz 1963 model using unstable periodic orbits: averages, transitions, and quasi-invariant sets. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science , 32 ISSN: 1089-7682 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0067673
Ragon, C. , Lembo, V. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Verard, C. , Kasparian, J. , Brunetti, M. (2022) Robustness of competing climatic states. Journal of Climate , 35 (9). pp. 2769-2784. ISSN: 1520-0442 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0148.1

Chen, Y. ORCID: 0000-0002-2319-6937 , Carrassi, A. ORCID: 0000-0003-0722-5600 , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2021) Inferring the instability of a dynamical system from the skill of data assimilation exercises. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 28 (4). pp. 633-649. ISSN: 1023-5809 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-28-633-2021
Kobras, M. , Ambaum, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-6824-8083 , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2021) Eddy saturation in a reduced two-level model of the atmosphere. Geophysical & Astrophysical Fluid Dynamics ISSN: 0309-1929 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03091929.2021.1990912
Galfi, V. ORCID: 0000-0002-8965-0880 and Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2021) Fingerprinting heatwaves and cold spells and assessing their response to climate change using large deviation theory. Physical Review Letters , 127 (5). ISSN: 0031-9007 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.127.058701
Zagli, N. ORCID: 0000-0003-4509-1615 , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Pavliotis, G. ORCID: 0000-0002-3468-9227 (2021) Spectroscopy of phase transitions for multiagent systems. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science , 31 (6). ISSN: 1089-7682 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0053558
Santos Gutiérrez, M. ORCID: 0000-0001-8617-2804 , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Chekroun, M. ORCID: 0000-0002-4525-5141 , Ghil, M. ORCID: 0000-0001-5177-7133 (2021) Reduced-order models for coupled dynamical systems: data-driven methods and the Koopman operator. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science , 31 (5). ISSN: 1089-7682 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0039496
Gelbrecht, M. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Boers, N. , Kurths, J. (2021) Analysis of a bistable climate toy model with physics-based machine learning methods. The European Physical Journal Special Topics ISSN: 1951-6355 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00175-0
Margazoglou, G. , Grafke, T. , Laio, A. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2021) Dynamical landscape and multistability of a climate model. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences , 477 (2250). ISSN: 1364-5021 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2021.0019
Galfi, V. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Ragone, F. , Wouters, J. (2021) Applications of large deviation theory in geophysical fluid dynamics and climate science. Rivista del Nuovo Cimento ISSN: 1826-9850 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40766-021-00020-z
Faranda, D. , Alberti, T. , Arutkin, M. , Lembo, V. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2021) Interrupting vaccination policies can greatly spread SARS-CoV-2 and enhance mortality from COVID-19 disease: the AstraZeneca case for France and Italy. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science , 31 (4). ISSN: 1089-7682 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1063/5.0050887
Tomasini, U. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2021) Predictors and predictands of linear response in spatially extended systems. European Physical Journal Special Topics ISSN: 1951-6355 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-021-00158-1

Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Pavliotis, G. , Zagli, N. (2020) Response theory and phase transitions for the thermodynamic limit of interacting identical systems. Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences ISSN: 1364-5021 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2020.0688
Vissio, G. , Lembo, V. , Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 , Ghil, M. (2020) Evaluating the performance of climate models based on Wasserstein distance. Geophysical Research Letters , 47 (21). ISSN: 0094-8276 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089385
Vissio, G. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2020) Mechanics and thermodynamics of a new minimal model of the atmosphere. The European Physical Journal Plus , 135 (10). ISSN: 2190-5444 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjp/s13360-020-00814-w
Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2020) Introduction to the special issue on the statistical mechanics of climate. Journal of Statistical Physics , 179. Journal of Statistical Physics , 179 (5-6). ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-020-02605-0
Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 and Bodai, T. (2020) Global stability properties of the climate: melancholia states, invariant measures, and phase transitions. Nonlinearity , 33 (9). pp. R59-R92. ISSN: 1361-6544 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1361-6544/ab86cc
Ghil, M. and Lucarini, V. ORCID: 0000-0001-9392-1471 (2020) The physics of climate variability and climate change. Reviews of Modern Physics , 92 (3). ISSN: 0034-6861 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/RevModPhys.92.035002
Lembo, V. , Lucarini, V. , Ragone, F. (2020) Beyond forcing scenarios: predicting climate change through response operators in a coupled general circulation model. Scientific Reports , 10 (1). ISSN: 2045-2322 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-65297-2
Santos Gutierrez, M. and Lucarini, V. (2020) Response and sensitivity using markov chains. Journal of Statistical Physics , 179 (5-6). pp. 1572-1593. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-020-02504-4
Bódai, T. , Lucarini, V. , Lunkeit, F. (2020) Can we use linear response theory to assess geoengineering strategies?. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science , 30 (2). ISSN: 1089-7682 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.5122255
Bodai, T. , Drótos, G. , Herein, M. , Lunkeit, F. , Lucarini, V. (2020) The forced response of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation-Indian monsoon teleconnection in ensembles of Earth System Models. Journal of Climate , 33 pp. 2163-2182. ISSN: 1520-0442 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0341.1
Eyring, V. , Bock, L. , Lauer, A. , Righi, M. , Schlund, M. , Andela, B. , Arnone, E. , Bellprat, O. , Brötz, B. , Caron, L. , Carvalhais, N. , Cionni, I. , Cortesi, N. , Crezee, B. , Davin, E. , Davini, P. , Debeire, K. , de Mora, L. , Deser, C. , Docquier, D. , Earnshaw, P. , Ehbrecht, C. , Gier, B. , Gonzalez-Reviriego, N. , Goodman, P. , Hagemann, S. , Hardiman, S. , Hassler, B. , Hunter, A. , Kadow, C. , Kindermann, S. , Koirala, S. , Koldunov, N. , Lejeune, Q. , Lembo, V. , Lovato, T. , Lucarini, V. , Massonnet, F. , Müller, B. , Pandde, A. , Pérez-Zanón, N. , Phillips, A. , Predoi, V. , Russell, J. , Sellar, A. , Serva, F. , Stacke, T. , Swaminathan, R. , Torralba, V. , Vegas-Regidor, J. , von Hardenberg, J. , Weigel, K. , Zimmermann, K. (2020) Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2.0 – an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions , 13 (7). pp. 3383-3438. ISSN: 1991-962X | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-13-3383-2020
Lucarini, V. and Gritsun, A. (2020) A new mathematical framework for atmospheric blocking events. Climate Dynamics , 54 (1-2). pp. 575-598. ISSN: 0930-7575 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-019-05018-2
Ruti, P. , Tarasova, O. , Keller, J. , Carmichael, G. , Hov, Ø. , Jones, S. , Terblanche, D. , Anderson-Lefale, C. , Barros, A. , Bauer, P. , Bouchet, V. , Brasseur, G. , Brunet, G. , DeCola, P. , Dike, V. , Kane, M. , Gan, C. , Gurney, K. , Hamburg, S. , Hazeleger, W. , Jean, M. , Johnston, D. , Lewis, A. , Li, P. , Liang, X. , Lucarini, V. , Lynch, A. , Manaenkova, E. , Jae-Cheol, N. , Ohtake, S. , Pinardi, N. , Polcher, J. , Ritchie, E. , Sakya, A. , Saulo, C. , Singhee, A. , Sopaheluwakan, A. , Steiner, A. , Thorpe, A. , Yamaji, M. (2020) Advancing research for seamless Earth system prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , 101 (1). pp. E23-E35. ISSN: 1520-0477 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/bams-d-17-0302.1

Lucarini, V. (2019) Stochastic resonance for nonequilibrium systems. Physical Review E , 100 (6). ISSN: 2470-0045 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.100.062124
Lembo, V. , Lunkeit, F. , Lucarini, V. (2019) TheDiaTo (v1.0) – a new diagnostic tool for water, energy and entropy budgets in climate models. Geoscientific Model Development , 12 (8). pp. 3805-3834. ISSN: 1991-9603 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3805-2019
Boschi, R. and Lucarini, V. (2019) Water pathways for the Hindu-Kush-Himalaya and analysis of three flood events. Atmosphere , 10 (9). ISSN: 2073-4433 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/atmos10090489
Hu, G. , Bodai, T. , Lucarini, V. (2019) Effects of stochastic parametrization on extreme value statistics. Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science , 29 (8). ISSN: 1089-7682 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.5095756
Lembo, V. , Messori, G. , Graversen, R. , Lucarini, V. (2019) Spectral decomposition and extremes of atmospheric meridional energy transport in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes. Geophysical Research Letters ISSN: 0094-8276 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082105
Carlu, M. , Ginelli, F. , Lucarini, V. , Politi, A. (2019) Lyapunov analysis of multiscale dynamics: the slow bundle of the two-scale Lorenz 96 model. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 26 (2). pp. 73-89. | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-26-73-2019
Lucarini, V. and Bódai, T. (2019) Transitions across Melancholia States in a climate model: reconciling the deterministic and stochastic points of view. Physical Review Letters , 122 (15). ISSN: 1079-7114 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.122.158701
Galfi, V. , Lucarini, V. , Wouters, J. (2019) A large deviation theory-based analysis of heat waves and cold spells in a simplified model of the general circulation of the atmosphere. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment ISSN: 1742-5468 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/ab02e8
Gómez-Leal, I. , Kaltenegger, L. , Lucarini, V. , Lunkeit, F. (2019) Climate sensitivity to ozone and its relevance on the habitability of Earth-like planets. Icarus , 321 pp. 608-618. ISSN: 0019-1035 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2018.11.019

Gomez-Leal, I. , Kaltenegger, L. , Lucarini, V. , Lunkeit, F. (2018) Climate sensitivity to carbon dioxide and moist greenhouse threshold of earth-like planets under an increasing solar forcing. The Astrophysical Journal , 869 (2). ISSN: 0004-637X | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/aaea5f
Lucarini, V. (2018) Revising and extending the linear response theory for statistical mechanical systems: evaluating observables as predictors and predictands. Journal of Statistical Physics , 173 (6). pp. 1698-1721. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-018-2151-5
Biferale, L. , Cencini, M. , De Pietro, M. , Gallavotti, G. , Lucarini, V. (2018) Equivalence of nonequilibrium ensembles in turbulence models. Physical Review E , 98 (1). ISSN: 2470-0053 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.98.012202
Vissio, G. and Lucarini, V. (2018) Evaluating a stochastic parametrization for a fast--slow system using the Wasserstein distance. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 25 (2). pp. 413-427. ISSN: 1023-5809 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-413-2018
De Cruz, L. , Schubert, S. , Demaeyer, J. , Lucarini, V. , Vannitsem, S. (2018) Exploring the Lyapunov instability properties of high-dimensional atmospheric and climate models. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 25 (2). pp. 387-412. ISSN: 1607-7946 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-25-387-2018
Tantet, A. , Lucarini, V. , Dijkstra, H. (2018) Resonances in a chaotic attractor crisis of the Lorenz Flow. Journal of Statistical Physics , 170 (3). pp. 584-616. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-017-1938-0
Tantet, A. , Lucarini, V. , Lunkeit, F. , Dijkstra, H. (2018) Crisis of the chaotic attractor of a climate model: a transfer operator approach. Nonlinearity , 31 (5). ISSN: 1361-6544 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1361-6544/aaaf42
Vissio, G. and Lucarini, V. (2018) A proof of concept for scale-adaptive parameterizations: the case of the Lorenz ’96 model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , 144 (710). pp. 63-75. ISSN: 1477-870X | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.3184

Zahid, M. , Blender, R. , Lucarini, V. , Bramati, M. (2017) Return levels of temperature extremes in southern Pakistan. Earth System Dynamics , 8 (4). pp. 1263-1278. ISSN: 2190-4987 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-1263-2017
Galfi, V. , Bodai, T. , Lucarini, V. (2017) Convergence of extreme value statistics in a two-layer quasi-geostrophic atmospheric model. Complexity , 2017 ISSN: 1076-2787 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/5340858
Lucarini, V. and Wouters, J. (2017) Response formulae for n-point correlations in statistical mechanical systems and application to a problem of coarse graining. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical , 50 (35). ISSN: 1751-8113 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/aa812c
Gritsun, A. and Lucarini, V. (2017) Fluctuations, response, and resonances in a simple atmospheric model. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena , 349 pp. 62-76. ISSN: 0167-2789 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2017.02.015
Hasson, S. , Böhner, J. , Lucarini, V. (2017) Prevailing climatic trends and runoff response from Hindukush–Karakoram–Himalaya, upper Indus Basin. Earth System Dynamics , 8 (2). pp. 337-355. ISSN: 2190-4987 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-337-2017
Lucarini, V. and Bodai, T. (2017) Edge states in the climate system: exploring global instabilities and critical transitions. Nonlinearity , 30 (7). pp. R32-R66. ISSN: 1361-6544 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1361-6544/aa6b11
Baladi, V. , Kuna, T. , Lucarini, V. (2017) Linear and fractional response for the SRB measure of smooth hyperbolic attractors and discontinuous observables. Nonlinearity , 30 (3). ISSN: 1361-6544 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1361-6544/aa5b13
Berner, J. , Achatz, U. , Batte, L. , Bengtsson, L. , De La Camara, A. , Christensen, H. , Colangeli, M. , Coleman, D. , Crommelin, D. , Dolaptchiev, S. , Franzke, C. , Friederichs, P. , Imkeller, P. , Jarvinen, H. , Juricke, S. , Kitsios, V. , Lott, F. , Lucarini, V. , Mahajan, S. , Palmer, T. , Penland, C. , Sakradzija, M. , Von Storch, J. , Weisheimer, A. , Weniger, M. , Williams, P. , Yano, J. (2017) Stochastic parameterization: towards a new view of weather and climate models. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , 98 (3). pp. 565-588. ISSN: 1520-0477 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00268.1
Lucarini, V. , Ragone, F. , Lunkeit, F. (2017) Predicting climate change using response theory: global averages and spatial patterns. Journal of Statistical Physics , 166 (3-4). pp. 1036-1064. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-016-1506-z

ul Hasson, S. , Pascale, S. , Lucarini, V. , Boehner, J. (2016) Seasonal cycle of precipitation over major river basins in South and Southeast Asia: a review of the CMIP5 climate models data for present climate and future climate projections. Atmospheric Research , 180 pp. 42 - 63. ISSN: 0169-8059 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2016.05.008
Ragone, F. , Lucarini, V. , Lunkeit, F. (2016) A new framework for climate sensitivity and prediction: a modelling perspective. Climate Dynamics , 46 (5). pp. 1459-1471. ISSN: 0930-7575 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2657-3
Schubert, S. and Lucarini, V. (2016) Dynamical analysis of blocking events: spatial and temporal fluctuations of covariant Lyapunov vectors. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , 142 (698). pp. 2143-2158. ISSN: 1477-870X | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2808
Pascale, S. , Lucarini, V. , Feng, X. , Porporato, A. , ul Hasson, S. (2016) Projected changes of rainfall seasonality and dry spells in a high greenhouse gas emissions scenario. Climate Dynamics , 46 (3). pp. 1331-1350. ISSN: 0930-7575 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2648-4
von der Heydt, A. , Dijkstra, H. , van de Wal, R. , Caballero, R. , Crucifix, M. , Foster, G. , Huber, M. , Köhler, P. , Rohling, E. , Valdes, P. , Ashwin, P. , Bathiany, S. , Berends, T. , van Bree, L. , Ditlevsen, P. , Ghil, M. , Haywood, A. , Katzav, J. , Lohmann, G. , Lohmann, J. , Lucarini, V. , Marzocchi, A. , Pälike, H. , Baroni, I. , Simon, D. , Sluijs, A. , Stap, L. , Tantet, A. , Viebahn, J. , Ziegler, M. (2016) Lessons on climate sensitivity from past climate changes. Current Climate Change Reports , 2 (4). pp. 148-158. ISSN: 2198-6061 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s40641-016-0049-3
Wouters, J. , Dolaptchiev, S. , Lucarini, V. , Achatz, U. (2016) Parameterization of stochastic multiscale triads. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 23 (6). pp. 435-445. ISSN: 1023-5809 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-23-435-2016
Vannitsem, S. and Lucarini, V. (2016) Statistical and dynamical properties of covariant lyapunov vectors in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model—multiscale effects, geometric degeneracy, and error dynamics. Journal of Physics A: Mathematical and Theoretical , 49 (22). ISSN: 1751-8113 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1751-8113/49/22/224001
Lucarini, V. (2016) Response operators for Markov processes in a finite state space: radius of convergence and link to the response theory for Axiom A systems. Journal of Statistical Physics , 162 (2). pp. 312-333. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-015-1409-4
Lucarini, V. , Faranda, D. , Freitas, A. , Freitas, J. , Holland, M. , Kuna, T. , Nicol, M. , Todd, M. , Vaienti, S. , eds. (2016) Extremes and recurrence in dynamical systems. Pure and applied mathematics: a Wiley series of texts, monographs, and tracts Wiley , Chichester. pp 312. ISBN: 9781118632192 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/9781118632321

Linsenmeier, M. , Pascale, S. , Lucarini, V. (2015) Climate of Earth-like planets with high obliquity and eccentric orbits: implications for habitability conditions. Planetary and Space Science , 105 pp. 43 - 59. ISSN: 0032-0633 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pss.2014.11.003
Pascale, S. , Lucarini, V. , Feng, X. , Porporato, A. , Hasson, S. (2015) Analysis of rainfall seasonality from observations and climate models. Climate Dynamics , 44 (11). pp. 3281-3301. ISSN: 0930-7575 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2278-2
Schubert, S. and Lucarini, V. (2015) Covariant Lyapunov vectors of a quasi-geostrophic baroclinic model: analysis of instabilities and feedbacks. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , 141 (693). pp. 3040-3055. ISSN: 1477-870X | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.2588
Knietzsch, M. , Schröder, A. , Lucarini, V. , Lunkeit, F. (2015) The impact of oceanic heat transport on the atmospheric circulation. Earth System Dynamics , 6 (2). pp. 591-615. ISSN: 2190-4987 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-591-2015
Franzke, C. , O'Kane, T. , Berner, J. , Williams, P. , Lucarini, V. (2015) Stochastic climate theory and modeling. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change , 6 (1). pp. 63-78. ISSN: 1757-7799 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/wcc.318

Faranda, D. , Lucarini, V. , Manneville, P. , Wouters, J. (2014) On using extreme values to detect global stability thresholds in multi-stable systems: the case of transitional plane Couette flow. Chaos Solitons & Fractals , 64 pp. 26 - 35. ISSN: 0960-0779 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2014.01.008
Hasson, S. , Lucarini, V. , Khan, M. , Petitta, M. , Bolch, T. , Gioli, G. (2014) Early 21st century snow cover state over the western river basins of the Indus River system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences , 18 (10). pp. 4077-4100. ISSN: 1027-5606 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-4077-2014
Lucarini, V. and Pascale, S. (2014) Entropy production and coarse graining of the climate fields in a general circulation model. Climate Dynamics , 43 (3-4). pp. 981-1000. ISSN: 0930-7575 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2052-5
Colangeli, M. and Lucarini, V. (2014) Elements of a unified framework for response formulae. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment , 2014 (1). ISSN: 1742-5468 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2014/01/P01002
Hasson, S. , Lucarini, V. , Pascale, S. , Böhner, J. (2014) Seasonality of the hydrological cycle in major South and Southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments. Earth System Dynamics , 5 (1). pp. 67-87. ISSN: 2190-4987 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-5-67-2014
Bodai, T. , Lucarini, V. , Lunkeit, F. , Boschi, R. (2014) Global instability in the Ghil--Sellers model. Climate Dynamics , 44 (11-12). pp. 3361-3381. ISSN: 0930-7575 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2206-5
Lucarini, V. , Blender, R. , Herbert, C. , Ragone, F. , Pascale, S. , Wouters, J. (2014) Mathematical and physical ideas for climate science. Reviews of Geophysics , 52 (4). pp. 809-859. ISSN: 8755-1209 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2013RG000446
Gallavotti, G. and Lucarini, V. (2014) Equivalence of non-equilibrium ensembles and representation of friction in turbulent flows: the Lorenz 96 model. Journal of Statistical Physics , 156 (6). pp. 1027-1065. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-014-1051-6
Lucarini, V. , Faranda, D. , Wouters, J. , Kuna, T. (2014) Towards a general theory of extremes for observables of chaotic dynamical systems. Journal of Statistical Physics , 154 (3). pp. 723-750. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-013-0914-6

Boschi, R. , Lucarini, V. , Pascale, S. (2013) Bistability of the climate around the habitable zone: a thermodynamic investigation. Icarus , 226 (2). pp. 1724-1742. ISSN: 0019-1035 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2013.03.017
Pascale, S. , Ragone, F. , Lucarini, V. , Wang, Y. , Boschi, R. (2013) Nonequilibrium thermodynamics of circulation regimes in optically thin, dry atmospheres. Planetary and Space Science , 84 pp. 48 - 65. ISSN: 0032-0633 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.pss.2013.04.014
Wouters, J. and Lucarini, V. (2013) Multi-level dynamical systems: connecting the Ruelle response theory and the Mori-Zwanzig approach. Journal of Statistical Physics , 151 (5). pp. 850-860. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-013-0726-8
Faranda, D. , Freitas, J. , Lucarini, V. , Turchetti, G. , Vaienti, S. (2013) Extreme value statistics for dynamical systems with noise. Nonlinearity , 26 (9). pp. 2597-2622. ISSN: 1361-6544 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0951-7715/26/9/2597
Blender, R. and Lucarini, V. (2013) Nambu representation of an extended Lorenz model with viscous heating. Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena , 243 (1). pp. 86 - 91. ISSN: 0167-2789
Hasson, S. , Lucarini, V. , Pascale, S. (2013) Hydrological cycle over South and Southeast Asian river basins as simulated by PCMDI/CMIP3 experiments. Earth System Dynamics , 4 (2). pp. 199-217. ISSN: 2190-4987 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-199-2013
Blender, R. , Wouters, J. , Lucarini, V. (2013) Avalanches, breathers, and flow reversal in a continuous Lorenz-96 model. Physical Review E , 88 (1). ISSN: 1550-2376 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.88.013201
Lucarini, V. , Pascale, S. , Boschi, R. , Kirk, E. , Iro, N. (2013) Habitability and multistablility in earth-like plantets. Astronomische Nachrichten , 334 (6). pp. 576-588. ISSN: 1521-3994 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/asna.201311903

Faranda, D. , Lucarini, V. , Turchetti, G. , Vaienti, S. (2012) Generalized extreme value distribution parameters as dynamical indicators of stability. International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos , 22 (11). ISSN: 1793-6551 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1142/S0218127412502768
Lucarini, V. and Colangeli, M. (2012) Beyond the linear fluctuation-dissipation theorem: the role of causality. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment , 2012 (5). ISSN: 1742-5468
Lucarini, V. , Kuna, T. , Wouters, J. , Faranda, D. (2012) Relevance of sampling schemes in light of Ruelle's linear response theory. Nonlinearity , 25 (5). pp. 1311. ISSN: 1361-6544 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0951-7715/25/5/1311
Lucarini, V. , Faranda, D. , Willeit, M. (2012) Bistable systems with stochastic noise: virtues and limits of effective one-dimensional Langevin equations. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 19 (1). pp. 9-22. ISSN: 1607-7946 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-19-9-2012
Wouters, J. and Lucarini, V. (2012) Disentangling multi-level systems: averaging, correlations and memory. Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment , 2012 (3). ISSN: 1742-5468 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1742-5468/2012/03/P03003
Lucarini, V. (2012) Stochastic perturbations to dynamical systems: a response theory approach. Journal of Statistical Physics , 146 (4). pp. 774-786. ISSN: 1572-9613 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-012-0422-0,
Lucarini, V. , Faranda, D. , Turchetti, G. , Vaienti, S. (2012) Extreme value distribution for singular measures. Chaos , 22 (2). ISSN: 1089-7682 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1063/1.4718935
Pascale, S. , Gregory, J. , Ambaum, M. , Tailleux, R. , Lucarini, V. (2012) Vertical and horizontal processes in the global atmosphere and the maximum entropy production conjecture. Earth System Dynamics , 3 pp. 19-32. ISSN: 2190-4987 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/esd-3-19-2012

Faranda, D. , Lucarini, V. , Turchetti, G. , Vaienti, S. (2011) Numerical convergence of the Block-Maxima approach to the generalized extreme value distribution. Journal of Statistical Physics , 145 (5). pp. 1156-1180. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-011-0234-7
Lucarini, V. , Fraedrich, K. , Ragone, F. (2011) New results on the thermodynamical properties of the climate system. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences , 68 (10). pp. 2438-2458. ISSN: 1520-0469 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JAS3713.1
Lucarini, V. and Sarno, S. (2011) A statistical mechanical approach for the computation of the climatic response to general forcings. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics , 18 (1). pp. 7-28. ISSN: 1023-5809 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/npg-18-7-2011
Lucarini, V. and Ragone, F. (2011) Energetics of climate models: net energy balance and meridional enthalpy transport. Reviews of Geophysics , 49 (RG1001). ISSN: 8755-1209 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2009RG000323
Zappa, G. , Lucarini, V. , Navarra, A. (2011) Baroclinic stationary waves in aquaplanet models. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences , 68 (5). pp. 1023-1040. ISSN: 1520-0469 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2011JAS3573.1

Lucarini, V. , Fraedrich, K. , Lunkeit, F. (2010) Thermodynamics of climate change: generalized sensitivities. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics , 10 (20). pp. 9729-9737. ISSN: 1680-7316 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/acp-10-9729-2010
Baum, A. , Scully, P. , Perrie, W. , Liu, D. , Lucarini, V. (2010) Mechanisms of femtosecond laser-induced refractive index modification of poly(methyl methacrylate). Journal of the Optical Society of America B-Optical Physics , 27 (1). pp. 107-111. ISSN: 0030-3941 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1364/JOSAB.27.000107
Lucarini, V. , Fraedrich, K. , Lunkeiot, F. (2010) Thermodynamic analysis of snowball Earth hysteresis experiment: Efficiency, entropy production and irreversibility. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society , 136 (646). pp. 2-11. ISSN: 1477-870X | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1002/qj.543

Lucarini, V. (2009) Thermodynamic efficiency and entropy production in the climate system. Physical Review E , 80 (2). pp. 021118-021118. ISSN: 1539-3755 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.80.021118
Lucarini, V. (2009) Three-dimensional random Voronoi tessellations: From cubic crystal lattices to Poisson point processes. Journal of Statistical Physics , 134 (1). pp. 185-206. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-008-9668-y
Lucarini, V. (2009) Evidence of dispersion relations for the nonlinear response of the Lorenz 63 system. Journal of Statistical Physics , 134 (2). pp. 381-400. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-008-9675-z
Lucarini, V. (2009) Symmetry-break in Voronoi tessellations. Symmetry , 1 (1). pp. 21-54. ISSN: 2073-8994 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.3390/sym1010021
Lucarini, V. and Fraedrich, K. (2009) Symmetry breaking, mixing, instability, and low frequency variability in a minimal Lorenz-like system. Physical Review E , 80 (2). ISSN: 1539-3755 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.80.026313
Vitolo, R. , Ruti, P. , Dell'Aquila, A. , Felici, M. , Lucarini, V. , Speranza, A. (2009) Accessing extremes of mid-latitudinal wave activity: methodology and application. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography , 61 (1). pp. 35-49. ISSN: 0280-6495

Lucarini, V. (2008) From symmetry breaking to Poisson Point Process in 2D Voronoi Tessellations: the generic nature of hexagons. Journal of Statistical Physics , 130 pp. 1047-1062. ISSN: 0022-4715
Lucarini, V. (2008) Response theory for equilibrium and non-equilibrium statistical mechanics: causality and generalized Kramers-Kronig relations. Journal of Statistical Physics , 131 (3). pp. 543-558. ISSN: 0022-4715 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10955-008-9498-y
Lucarini, V. , Danihlik, R. , Kriegerova, I. , Speranza, A. (2008) Hydrological cycle in the Danube basin in present-day and XXII century simulations by IPCCAR4 global climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research , 113 pp. D09107-D09107. ISSN: 0148-0227 | doi: https://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2007JD009167

Lucarini, V. , Saarinen, J. , Peiponen, K. , Vartiainen, E. (2005) Kramers-Kronig relations in optical materials research. Springer Series in Optical Sciences , 110. Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg pp 162. ISBN: 9783540273165

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