Professor Tom Oliver
Responsibilities
Professor of Applied Ecology
Author of THE SELF DELUSION
- Research
- Impact, Enterprise and Outreach
- Esteem Factors
- International Collaborators
- National Collaborators
- Publications
- Research Division Leader for Ecology and Evolution
- Supervision/co-supervision of the following PhD students -
- Alexander Dean (University of Reading)
- Andre Dornelles (University of Reading)
- Luke Evans (University of Reading)
- Chanida Fung (University of Reading)
- Matt Greenwell (University of Reading)
- Louise Hutchinson (University of Reading)
- Lisbeth Morrison (University of Reading)
- John Redhead (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology)
- Laura Merritt (Centre for Ecology and Hydrology)
- Vicky Senior (University of Sheffield)
- Supervision of the following Post-doctoral staff -
- Emma Gardner (BBSRC: Modelling resilient pollination services)
- Yolanda Melero (Marie-Curie: 'Butterfly community ecology')
Areas of Interest
- Interactions between land use and climate change on biodiversity
- Spatiotemporal indicators for biodiversity and ecosystem services
- Biodiversity and the resilience of ecosystem functions
Impact, Enterprise and Outreach
- Design authority for Defra Systems Research Programme (senior fellowship 0.6FTE)
- Author of critically appraised book The Self Delusion: How You Are Connected to Everyone Else and Why That Matters
- Member of European Environment Agency Scientific Committee
- Developing species climate change risk assessments and a decision framework for adaptation in partnership with Natural England
- Author of technical report in LWEC Terrestrial Climate Change Impacts Report Card
- Development of a UK indicator of functional connectivity in collaboration with JNCC
- Quantifying UK biodiversity changes across 22 species groups, including a new spatial indicator of national biodiversity, used to inform of prioritisation of large infrastructure projects or ecological restoration (Dyer et al., 2016).
- Research on climate change impacts and biodiversity changes reviewed in international newspapers (NY Times, Guardian), magazines (New Scientist, Science, Nature) and radio interviews (BBC, Canadian Broadcasting Corporation)
Esteem Factors
- Research papers in Science, PNAS, Nature Climate Change, Nature Communications, TREE
- Involved in successful funding bids (PI/Co-I) totalling £6.4M income (e.g. funding through NERC, BBSRC, Natural England)
- NERC Peer Review Panel member
- Research cited in, and expert reviewer for IPBES, IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), and 1.5°C warming report
- Keynote speaker at International Future of Butterflies Conference 2016; British Ecological Society Symposium 2016; NERC Valuing Nature Programme keynote lecture 2017
- Reviewer for over 30 different ISI journals including Nature and Science, and international funding agencies (e.g. NERC/BBSRC/Royal Society/EarthWatch/Czech Academy of Sciences/Belmont Forum) and Associate Editor of Journal of Insect Conservation and Diversity
- NERC CDT Modelling and quantitative skills in ecology and evolution (QMEE) Training Board member
- Member of UK government-led working groups on habitat fragmentation, climate change adaptation and ecosystem services
- NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology Fellow
International Collaborators
- Constanti Stefanescu, Catalan Butterfly Monitoring Scheme, Spain
- Oliver Schweiger, Josef Settele UFZ, Germany
- Chris van Swaay, Butterfly Conservation Europe, Netherlands
- Romain Julliard, Natural History Museum, France
- Damaris Zurell, Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL
- Gao Hu, Nanjing Agricultural University, China
National Collaborators
- David Roy, James Bullock, Nick Isaac, Matt Heard, Gary Powney, NERC Centre for Ecology and Hydrology
- Chris Thomas, Jane Hill, University of York
- Albert Phillimore, Edinburgh University
- Mike Bruford, University of Cardiff
- Tom Brereton, Richard Fox, Butterfly Conservation
- Kevin Watts, Forest Research
- Richard Bradbury, RSPB
- Simon Gillings, James Pearce-Higgins, British Trust for Ornithology
- Richard Smithers, Ricardo AEA
- Mike Morecroft, Simon Duffield, Humphrey Crick, Natural England
- Deborah Procter, JNCC
Research groups / Centres
Publications
Y
Number of items: 83.
2021
-
Hutchinson, L. A., Oliver, T. H., Breeze, T. D.
ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8929-8354, Bailes, E. J., Brünjes, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1344-1476, Campbell, A. J., Erhardt, A., de Groot, G. A., Földesi, R., García, D., Goulson, D., Hainaut, H., Hambäck, P. A., Holzschuh, A., Jauker, F., Klatt, B. K., Klein, A.-M., Kleijn, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2500-7164, Kovács-Hostyánszki, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5906-4816, Krimmer, E., McKerchar, M., Miñarro, M., Phillips, B. B., Potts, S. G., Pufal, G., Radzevičiūtė, R., Roberts, S. P. M., Samnegård, U., Schulze, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6944-0130, Shaw, R. F., Tscharntke, T., Vereecken, N. J., Westbury, D. B., Westphal, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2615-1339, Wietzke, A., Woodcock, B. A. and Garratt, M. P. D.
(2021)
Using ecological and field survey data to establish a national list of the wild bee pollinators of crops.
Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 315.
107447.
ISSN 0167-8809
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2021.107447
-
Hu, G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1000-5687, Stefanescu, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8952-7869, Oliver, T. H., Roy, D. B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5147-0331, Brereton, T., Van Swaay, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0927-2216, Reynolds, D. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8749-7491 and Chapman, J. W.
(2021)
Environmental drivers of annual population fluctuations in a trans-Saharan insect migrant.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118 (26).
e2102762118.
ISSN 0027-8424
doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2102762118
-
Gardner, E., Breeze, T. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8929-8354, Clough, Y., Smith, H. G., Baldock, K. C. R., Campbell, A., Garratt, M. P. D., Gillespie, M. A. K., Kunin, W. E., McKerchar, M., Potts, S. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2045-980X, Senapathi, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8883-1583, Stone, G. N., Wackers, F., Westbury, D. B., Wilby, A. and Oliver, T. H.
(2021)
Field boundary features can stabilise bee populations and the pollination of mass-fowering crops in rotational systems.
Journal of Applied Ecology.
ISSN 0021-8901
doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13948
(In Press)
2020
-
Gardner, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1669-7151, Breeze, T. D., Clough, Y., Smith, H. G., Baldock, K. C. R., Campbell, A., Garratt, M., Gillespie, M. A. K., Kunin, W. E., McKerchar, M., Memmott, J., Potts, S. G., Senapathi, D., Stone, G. N., Wackers, F., Westbury, D. B., Wilby, A. and Oliver, T. H.
(2020)
Reliably predicting pollinator abundance: challenges of calibrating process-based ecological models.
Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 11 (12).
pp. 1673-1689.
ISSN 2041-210X
doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.13483
-
Redhead, J. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2233-3848, Oliver, T. H., Woodcock, B. A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0300-9951, Pywell, R. F. and Marini, L.
(2020)
The influence of landscape composition and configuration on crop yield resilience.
Journal of Applied Ecology, 57 (11).
pp. 2180-2190.
ISSN 0021-8901
doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13722
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Evans, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8649-0589, Oliver, T. H., Sims, I., Greenwell, M. P., Melero, Y., Watson, A., Townsend, F. and Walters, R. J.
(2020)
Behavioural modes in butterflies: their implications for movement and searching behaviour.
Animal Behaviour, 169.
pp. 23-33.
ISSN 0003-3472
doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.anbehav.2020.09.001
- Fung, C., González-Moreno, P., Pratt, C., Oliver, T. H., Bourchier, R. S. and González-Suárez, M. (2020) Effect of humidity and temperature on the performance of three strains of Aphalara itadori, a biocontrol agent for Japanese knotweed. Biological Control, 146. 104269. ISSN 1049-9644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocontrol.2020.104269
- Pellissier, V., Schmucki, R., Pe'er, G., Aunins, A., Brereton, T. M., Brotons, L., Carnicer, J., Chodkiewicz, T., Chylarecki, P., Del Moral, J. C., Escandell, V., Evans, D., Foppen, R., Harpke, A., Heliölä, J., Herrando, S., Kuussaari, M., Kühn, E., Lehikoinen, A., Lindström, Å., Moshøj, C. M., Musche, M., Noble, D., Oliver, T. H., Reif, J., Richard, D., Roy, D. B., Schweiger, O., Settele, J., Stefanescu, C., Teufelbauer, N., Touroult, J., Trautmann, S., van Strien, A. J., van Swaay, C. A. M., van Turnhout, C., Vermouzek, Z., Voříšek, P., Jiguet, F. and Julliard, R. (2020) Effects of Natura 2000 on nontarget bird and butterfly species based on citizen science data. Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology, 34 (3). pp. 666-676. ISSN 1523-1739 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/cobi.13434
- Evans, L. C., Sibly, R. M., Thorbek, P., Sims, I., Oliver, T. H. and Walters, R. J. (2020) The importance of including habitat-specific behaviour in models of butterfly movement. Oecologia, 193 (2). pp. 249-259. ISSN 1432-1939 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-020-04638-4
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Senior, V. L., Evans, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8649-0589, Leather, S. R., Oliver, T. H. and Evans, K. L.
(2020)
Phenological responses in a sycamore‐aphid‐parasitoid system and consequences for aphid population dynamics: a 20‐year case study.
Global Change Biology, 26 (5).
pp. 2814-2828.
ISSN 1365-2486
doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15015
- Evans, L. C., Sibly, R. M., Thorbek, P., Sims, I., Oliver, T. H. and Walters, R. J. (2020) Behaviour underpins the predictive power of a trait-based model of butterfly movement. Ecology and Evolution, 10 (7). pp. 3200-3208. ISSN 2045-7758 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5957
- Oliver, T. (2020) The self delusion: the surprising science of our connection to each other and the natural world. Weidenfeld & Nicholson, London, pp304. ISBN 9781474611770
- Senapathi, D., Bradbury, R., Broadmeadow, M., Brown, K., Crosher, I., Diamond, M., Duffield, S., Freeman, B., Harley, M., Hodgson, J., Maclean, I., Morecroft, M., Munday, P., Oliver, T., Pearce-Higgins, J., Riddle, N., Stevenson, M., Vanderpump, J., van Dijk, N. and Watts, O., (2020) Biodiversity 2020: climate change evaluation report. Report. Department of Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), UK Government, London, UK.
- Dornelles, A. Z., Boyd, E., Nunes, R. J., Asquith, M., Boonstra, W. J., Delabre, I., Denney, J. M., Grimm, V., Jentsch, A., Nicholas, K. A., Schröter, M., Seppelt, R., Settele, J., Shackelford, N., Standish, R. J., Yengoh, G. T. and Oliver, T. H. (2020) Towards a bridging concept for undesirable resilience in social-ecological systems. Global Sustainability, 3. ISSN 2059-4798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2020.15
2019
- Evans, L. C., Sibly, R. M., Thorbek, P., Sims, I., Oliver, T. H. and Walters, R. J. (2019) Quantifying the effectiveness of agri-environment schemes for a grassland butterfly using individual-based models. Ecological Modelling, 411. p. 108798. ISSN 0304-3800 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2019.108798
- Greenwell, M. P., Brereton, T., Day, J. C., Roy, D. B. and Oliver, T. H. (2019) Predicting resilience of ecosystem functioning from co‐varying species' responses to environmental change. Ecology and Evolution, 9 (20). pp. 11775-11790. ISSN 2045-7758 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.5679
- Evans, L. C., Sims, I., Sibly, R. M., Thorbek, P., Oliver, T. H. and Walters, R. J. (2019) Data on the movement behaviour of four species of grassland butterfly. Data in Brief, 27. 104611. ISSN 2352-3409 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2019.104611
- Platts, P. J., Mason, S. C., Palmer, G., Hill, J. K., Oliver, T. H., Powney, G. D., Fox, R. and Thomas, C. D. (2019) Habitat availability explains variation in climate-driven range shifts across multiple taxonomic groups. Scientific Reports, 9. 15039. ISSN 2045-2322 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-51582-2
- Evans, L. C., Sibly, R. M., Thorbek, P., Sims, I., Oliver, T. H. and Walters, R. J. (2019) Integrating the influence of weather into mechanistic models of butterfly movement. Movement Ecology, 7 (24). pp. 1-10. ISSN 2051-3933 doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-019-0171-7
2018
- Oliver, T. H. (2018) Is the concept of ‘natural capital’ useful? In: Anderson, V. (ed.) Debating Nature's Value. Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 49-54. ISBN 978-3-319-99244-0 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-99244-0_6
- Redhead, J. W., Woodcock, B. A., Pocock, M. J. O., Pywell, R. F., Vanbergen, A. J. and Oliver, T. H. (2018) Potential landscape-scale pollinator networks across Great Britain: structure, stability and influence of agricultural land cover. Ecology Letters, 21 (12). pp. 1821-1832. ISSN 1461-0248 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ele.13157
- Isaac, N. J. B., Brotherton, P. N. M., Bullock, J. M., Gregory, R. D., Boehning‐Gaese, K., Connor, B., Crick, H. Q. P., Freckleton, R. P., Gill, J. A., Hails, R. S., Hartikainen, M., Hester, A. J., Millner-Gullland, E. J., Oliver, T. H., Pearson, R. G., Sutherland, W. J., Thomas, C. D., Travis, J. M. J., Turnbull, L. A., Willis, K., Woodward, G. and Mace, G. M. (2018) Defining and delivering resilient ecological networks: an example for nature conservation in England. Journal of Applied Ecology, 55 (6). pp. 2537-2543. ISSN 1365-2664 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.13196
- Oliver, T. H. (2018) Biodiversity generation and loss. In: Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Environmental Science. Oxford University Press. doi: https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389414.013.96
- Mason, S. C., Hill, J. K., Thomas, C. D., Powney, G. D., Fox, R., Brereton, T. and Oliver, T. H. (2018) Population variability of species can be deduced from citizen science records: a case study using British butterflies. Insect Conservation and Diversity, 11 (2). pp. 131-142. ISSN 1752-4598 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/icad.12242
- Ridding, L. E., Redhead, J. W., Oliver, T. H., Schmucki, R., McGinlay, J., Graves, A. R., Morris, J., Bradbury, R. B., King, H. and Bullock, J. M. (2018) The importance of landscape characteristics for the delivery of cultural ecosystem services. Journal of Environmental Management, 206. pp. 1145-1154. ISSN 0301-4797 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2017.11.066
- Redhead, J. W., May, L., Oliver, T. H., Hamel, P., Sharp, R. and Bullock, J. M. (2018) National scale evaluation of the InVEST nutrient retention model in the United Kingdom. Science of the Total Environment, 610-611. pp. 666-677. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.08.092
- Oliver, T. H., Boyd, E., Balcombe, K., Benton, T. G., Bullock, J. M., Donovan, D., Feola, G., Heard, M., Mace, G. M., Mortimer, S. R., Nunes, R. J., Pywell, R. F. and Zaum, D. (2018) Overcoming undesirable resilience in the global food system. Global Sustainability, 1. e9. ISSN 2059-4798 doi: https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2018.9
2017
- Mills, S. C., Oliver, T., Bradbury, R. B., Gregory, R. D., Brereton, T., Kühn, E., Kuussaari, M., Musche, M., Roy, D. B., Schmucki, R., Stefanescu, C., van Swaay, C. and Evans, K. L. (2017) European butterfly populations vary in sensitivity to weather across their geographical ranges. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 26 (12). pp. 1374-1385. ISSN 1466-822X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/geb.12659
- Sullivan, M. J. P., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Newson, S. E., Scholefield, P., Brereton, T. and Oliver, T. H. (2017) A national-scale model of linear features improves predictions of farmland biodiversity. Journal of Applied Ecology, 54 (6). pp. 1776-1784. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12912
- Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Beale, C. M., Oliver, T. H., August, T. A., Carroll, M., Massimino, D., Ockendon, N., Savage, J., Wheatley, C. J., Ausden, M. A., Bradbury, R. B., Duffield, S. J., Macgregor, N. A., McClean, C. J., Morecroft, M. D., Thomas, C. D., Watts, O., Beckmann, B. C., Fox, R., Roy, H. E., Sutton, P. G., Walker, K. J. and Crick, H. Q. P. (2017) A national-scale assessment of climate change impacts on species: assessing the balance of risks and opportunities for multiple taxa. Biological Conservation, 213 (A). pp. 124-134. ISSN 0006-3207 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2017.06.035
- Bullock, J. M., Dhanjal-Adams, K. L., Milne, A., Oliver, T. H., Todman, L. C., Whitmore, A. P. and Pywell, R. F. (2017) Resilience and food security: rethinking an ecological concept. Journal of Ecology, 105 (4). pp. 880-884. ISSN 0022-0477 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2745.12791
- Dyer, R. J., Gillings, S., Pywell, R. F., Fox, R., Roy, D. B. and Oliver, T. H. (2017) Developing a biodiversity-based indicator for large-scale environmental assessment: a case study of proposed shale gas extraction sites in Britain. Journal of Applied Ecology, 54 (3). pp. 872-882. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12784
- Oliver, T. H., Gillings, S., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Brereton, T., Crick, H. Q. P., Duffield, S. J., Morecroft, M. D. and Roy, D. B. (2017) Large extents of intensive land use limit community reorganization during climate warming. Global Change Biology, 23 (6). pp. 2272-2283. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13587
- Oliver, T., Powney, G. D., Baguette, M. and Schtickzelle, N. (2017) Synchrony in population counts predicts butterfly movement frequencies. Ecological Entomology, 42 (3). pp. 375-378. ISSN 0307-6946 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/een.12391
- De Palma, A., Dennis, R. L. H., Brereton, T., Leather, S. R. and Oliver, T. H. (2017) Large reorganizations in butterfly communities during an extreme weather event. Ecography, 40 (5). pp. 577-585. ISSN 0906-7590 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.02228
2016
- Redhead, J. W., Stratford, C., Sharps, K., Jones, L., Ziv, G., Clarke, D., Oliver, T. H. and Bullock, J. M. (2016) Empirical validation of the InVEST water yield ecosystem service model at a national scale. Science of the Total Environment, 569-570. pp. 1418-1426. ISSN 0048-9697 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.06.227
- Oliver, T. H. (2016) How much biodiversity loss is too much? Science, 353 (6296). pp. 220-221. ISSN 0036-8075 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aag1712
- Schmucki, R., Pe'er, G., Roy, D. B., Stefanescu, C., Van Swaay, C. A.M., Oliver, T. H., Kuussaari, M., Van Strien, A. J., Ries, L., Settele, J., Musche, M., Carnicer, J., Schweiger, O., Brereton, T. M., Harpke, A., Heliölä, J., Kühn, E. and Julliard, R. (2016) A regionally informed abundance index for supporting integrative analyses across butterfly monitoring schemes. Journal of Applied Ecology, 53 (2). pp. 501-510. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12561
- Redhead, J. W., Fox, R., Brereton, T. and Oliver, T. H. (2016) Assessing species’ habitat associations from occurrence records, standardised monitoring data and expert opinion: a test with British butterflies. Ecological Indicators, 62. pp. 271-278. ISSN 1470-160X doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.11.004
- Oliver, T. H., Heard, M. S., Isaac, N. J.B., Roy, D. B., Procter, D., Eigenbrod, F., Freckleton, R., Hector, A., Orme, C. D. L., Petchey, O. L., Proença, V., Raffaelli, D., Blake Suttle, K., Mace, G. M., Martín-López, B., Woodcock, B. A. and Bullock, J. M. (2016) A synthesis is emerging between biodiversity–ecosystem function and ecological resilience research: reply to Mori. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 31 (2). pp. 89-92. ISSN 0169-5347 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2015.12.008
- Oliver, T. H., Smithers, R. J., Beale, C. M. and Watts, K. (2016) Are existing biodiversity conservation strategies appropriate in a changing climate? Biological Conservation, 193. pp. 17-26. ISSN 0006-3207 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2015.10.024
2015
- Oliver, T. H., Isaac, N. J. B., August, T. A., Woodcock, B. A., Roy, D. B. and Bullock, J. M. (2015) Declining resilience of ecosystem functions under biodiversity loss. Nature Communications, 6. 10122. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms10122
- Oliver, T. H., Heard, M. S., Isaac, N. J.B., Roy, D. B., Procter, D., Eigenbrod, F., Freckleton, R., Hector, A., Orme, C. D. L., Petchey, O. L., Proença, V., Raffaelli, D., Suttle, K. B., Mace, G. M., Martín-López, B., Woodcock, B. A. and Bullock, J. M. (2015) Biodiversity and resilience of ecosystem functions. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 30 (11). pp. 673-684. ISSN 0169-5347 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2015.08.009
- Oliver, T. H., Marshall, H. H., Morecroft, M. D., Brereton, T., Prudhomme, C. and Huntingford, C. (2015) Interacting effects of climate change and habitat fragmentation on drought-sensitive butterflies. Nature Climate Change, 5 (10). pp. 941-945. ISSN 1758-678X doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2746
- Gillingham, P. K., Bradbury, R. B., Roy, D. B., Anderson, B. J., Baxter, J. M., Bourn, N. A. D., Crick, H. Q. P., Findon, R. A., Fox, R., Franco, A., Hill, J. K., Hodgson, J. A., Holt, A. R., Morecroft, M. D., O'Hanlon, N. J., Oliver, T. H., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Procter, D. A., Thomas, J. A., Walker, K. J., Walmsley, C. A., Wilson, R. J. and Thomas, C. D. (2015) The effectiveness of protected areas in the conservation of species with changing geographical ranges. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 115 (3). pp. 707-717. ISSN 0024-4066 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/bij.12506
- Oliver, T. H. and Roy, D. B. (2015) The pitfalls of ecological forecasting. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 115 (3). pp. 767-778. ISSN 0024-4066 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/bij.12579
- Roy, D. B., Oliver, T. H., Botham, M. S., Beckmann, B., Brereton, T., Dennis, R. L. H., Harrower, C., Phillimore, A. B. and Thomas, J. A. (2015) Similarities in butterfly emergence dates among populations suggest local adaptation to climate. Global Change Biology, 21 (9). pp. 3313-3322. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.12920
- Oliver, T. H., Smithers, R. J., Bailey, S., Walmsley, C. A. and Watts, K. (2015) Corrigendum: a decision framework for considering climate change adaptation in biodiversity conservation planning. Journal of Applied Ecology, 52 (2). p. 538. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12396
- Mason, S. C., Palmer, G., Fox, R., Gillings, S., Hill, J. K., Thomas, C. D. and Oliver, T. H. (2015) Geographical range margins of many taxonomic groups continue to shift polewards. Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 115 (3). pp. 586-597. ISSN 0024-4066 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/bij.12574
- Palmer, G., Hill, J. K., Brereton, T. M., Brooks, D. R., Chapman, J. W., Fox, R., Oliver, T. H. and Thomas, C. D. (2015) Individualistic sensitivities and exposure to climate change explain variation in species' distribution and abundance changes. Science Advances, 1 (9). e1400220. ISSN 2375-2548 doi: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.1400220
2014
- Raffaelli, D., Bullock, J. M., Cinderby, S., Durance, I., Emmett, B., Harris, J., Hicks, K., Oliver, T. H., Paterson, D. and White, P. C. L. (2014) Big Data and ecosystem research programmes. In: Woodward, G., Dumbrell, A., Baird, D. and Hajibabaei, M. (eds.) Big Data in Ecology. Advances in Ecological Research, 51. Academic Press, pp. 42-74. ISBN 9780081004791 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-08-099970-8.00004-X
- Newson, S. E., Oliver, T. H., Gillings, S., Crick, H. Q. P., Morecroft, M. D., Duffield, S. J., Macgregor, N. A. and Pearce-Higgins, J. W. (2014) Can site and landscape-scale environmental attributes buffer bird populations against weather events? Ecography, 37 (9). pp. 872-882. ISSN 0906-7590 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.00575
- Fox, R., Oliver, T. H., Harrower, C., Parsons, M. S., Thomas, C. D. and Roy, D. B. (2014) Long-term changes to the frequency of occurrence of British moths are consistent with opposing and synergistic effects of climate and land-use changes. Journal of Applied Ecology, 51 (4). pp. 949-957. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12256
- Oliver, T. H. and Morecroft, M. D. (2014) Interactions between climate change and land use change on biodiversity: attribution problems, risks, and opportunities. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 5 (3). pp. 317-335. ISSN 1757-7799 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.271
- Oliver, T. H., Stefanescu, C., Paramo, F., Brereton, T. and Roy, D. B. (2014) Latitudinal gradients in butterfly population variability are influenced by landscape heterogeneity. Ecography, 37 (9). pp. 863-871. ISSN 1600-0587 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.00608
2013
- Dooley, C. A., Bonsall, M. B., Brereton, T. and Oliver, T. (2013) Spatial variation in the magnitude and functional form of density-dependent processes on the large skipper butterfly Ochlodes sylvanus. Ecological Entomology, 38 (6). pp. 608-616. ISSN 0307-6946 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/een.12055
- Bishop, T. R., Botham, M. S., Fox, R., Leather, S. R., Chapman, D. S. and Oliver, T. H. (2013) The utility of distribution data in predicting phenology. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 4 (11). pp. 1024-1032. ISSN 2041-210X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12112
- Oliver, T. H., Brereton, T. and Roy, D. B. (2013) Population resilience to an extreme drought is influenced by habitat area and fragmentation in the local landscape. Ecography, 36 (5). pp. 579-586. ISSN 0906-7590 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07665.x
2012
- Powney, G. D., Broaders, L. K. and Oliver, T. H. (2012) Towards a measure of functional connectivity: local synchrony matches small scale movements in a woodland edge butterfly. Landscape Ecology, 27 (8). pp. 1109-1120. ISSN 0921-2973 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-012-9771-y
- Oliver, T. H., Thomas, C. D., Hill, J. K., Brereton, T. and Roy, D. B. (2012) Habitat associations of thermophilous butterflies are reduced despite climatic warming. Global Change Biology, 18 (9). pp. 2720-2729. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02737.x
- Oliver, T. H., Leather, S. R. and Cook, J. M. (2012) Ant larval demand reduces aphid colony growth rates in an ant-aphid interaction. Insects, 3 (1). pp. 120-130. ISSN 2075-4450 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/insects3010120
- Suggitt, A. J., Stefanescu, C., Paramo, F., Oliver, T., Anderson, B. J., Hill, J. K., Roy, D. B., Brereton, T. and Thomas, C. D. (2012) Habitat associations of species show consistent but weak responses to climate. Biology Letters, 8 (4). pp. 590-593. ISSN 1744-957X doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsbl.2012.0112
- Oliver, T. H., Gillings, S., Girardello, M., Rapacciuolo, G., Brereton, T. M., Siriwardena, G. M., Roy, D. B., Pywell, R. and Fuller, R. J. (2012) Population density but not stability can be predicted from species distribution models. Journal of Applied Ecology, 49 (3). pp. 581-590. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02138.x
- Thomas, C. D., Gillingham, P. K., Bradbury, R. B., Roy, D. B., Anderson, B. J., Baxter, J. M., Bourn, N. A. D., Crick, H. Q. P., Findon, R. A., Fox, R., Hodgson, J. A., Holt, A. R., Morecroft, M. D., O'Hanlon, N. J., Oliver, T. H., Pearce-Higgins, J. W., Procter, D. A., Thomas, J. A., Walker, K. J., Walmsley, C. A., Wilson, R. J. and Hill, J. K. (2012) Protected areas facilitate species' range expansions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 109 (35). pp. 14063-14068. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1210251109
- Oliver, T. H., Roy, D. B., Brereton, T. and Thomas, J. A. (2012) Reduced variability in range-edge butterfly populations over three decades of climate warming. Global Change Biology, 18 (5). pp. 1531-1539. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02659.x
- Oliver, T. H., Smithers, R. J., Bailey, S., Walmsley, C. A. and Watts, K. (2012) A decision framework for considering climate change adaptation in biodiversity conservation planning. Journal of Applied Ecology, 49 (6). pp. 1247-1255. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/1365-2664.12003
2011
- Powney, G. D., Roy, D. B., Chapman, D., Brereton, T. and Oliver, T. H. (2011) Measuring functional connectivity using long-term monitoring data. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2 (5). pp. 527-533. ISSN 2041-210X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2011.00098.x
- Hodgson, J. A., Thomas, C. D., Oliver, T. H., Anderson, B. J., Brereton, T. M. and Crone, E. E. (2011) Predicting insect phenology across space and time. Global Change Biology, 17 (3). pp. 1289-1300. ISSN 1365-2486 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02308.x
- Thomas, C. D., Hill, J. K., Anderson, B. J., Bailey, S., Beale, C. M., Bradbury, R. B., Bulman, C. R., Crick, H. Q. P., Eigenbrod, F., Griffiths, H. M., Kunin, W. E., Oliver, T. H., Walmsley, C. A., Watts, K., Worsfold, N. T. and Yardley, T. (2011) A framework for assessing threats and benefits to species responding to climate change. Methods in Ecology and Evolution, 2 (2). pp. 125-142. ISSN 2041-210X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2041-210X.2010.00065.x
2010
- Oliver, T., Roy, D. B., Hill, J. K., Brereton, T. and Thomas, C. D. (2010) Heterogeneous landscapes promote population stability. Ecology Letters, 13 (4). pp. 473-484. ISSN 1461-023X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2010.01441.x
- Powney, G. D., Roy, D. B., Chapman, D. and Oliver, T. H. (2010) Synchrony of butterfly populations across species' geographic ranges. Oikos, 119 (10). pp. 1690-1696. ISSN 1600-0706 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2010.18168.x
2009
- Oliver, T., Hill, J. K., Thomas, C. D., Brereton, T. and Roy, D. B. (2009) Changes in habitat specificity of species at their climatic range boundaries. Ecology Letters, 12 (10). pp. 1091-1102. ISSN 1461-0248 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-0248.2009.01367.x
- Mashanova, A., Oliver, T. H. and Jansen, V. A. A. (2009) Evidence for intermittency and a truncated power law from highly resolved aphid movement data. Journal of the Royal Society Interface, 7 (42). pp. 199-208. ISSN 1742-5662 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2009.0121
- Oliver, T. H., Leather, S. R. and Cook, J. M. (2009) Tolerance traits and the stability of mutualism. Oikos, 118 (3). pp. 346-352. ISSN 0030-1299 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2008.17045.x
2008
- Oliver, T. H., Jones, I., Cook, J. M. and Leather, S. R. (2008) Avoidance responses of an aphidophagous ladybird, Adalia bipunctata, to aphid-tending ants. Ecological Entomology, 33 (4). pp. 523-528. ISSN 0307-6946 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2311.2008.01009.x
- Fuller, R. J., Oliver, T. H. and Leather, S. R. (2008) Forest management effects on carabid beetle communities in coniferous and broadleaved forests: implications for conservation. Insect Conservation and Diversity, 1 (4). pp. 242-252. ISSN 1752-4598 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-4598.2008.00032.x
- Oliver, T. H., Leather, S. R. and Cook, J. M. (2008) Macroevolutionary patterns in the origin of mutualisms involving ants. Journal of Evolutionary Biology, 21 (6). pp. 1597-1608. ISSN 1010-061X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1420-9101.2008.01600.x
- Oliver, T. H., Pettitt, T., Leather, S. R. and Cook, J. M. (2008) Numerical abundance of invasive ants and monopolisation of exudate-producing resources - a chicken and egg situation. Insect Conservation & Diversity, 1 (4). pp. 208-214. ISSN 1752-458X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-4598.2008.00026.x
- Timms, J. E., Oliver, T. H., Straw, N. A. and Leather, S. R. (2008) The effects of host plant on the coccinellid functional response: Is the conifer specialist Aphidecta obliterata (L.) (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae) better adapted to spruce than the generalist Adalia bipunctata (L.) (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae)? Biological Control, 47 (3). pp. 273-281. ISSN 1049-9644 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocontrol.2008.08.009
2007
- Oliver, T. H., Mashanova, A., Leather, S. R., Cook, J. M. and Jansen, V. A. A. (2007) Ant semiochemicals limit apterous aphid dispersal. Proceedings of the Royal Society B-Biological Sciences, 274 (1629). pp. 3127-3131. ISSN 0962-8452 doi: https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2007.1251
- Leahy, M. J. A., Oliver, T. H. and Leather, S. R. (2007) Feeding behaviour of the black pine beetle, Hylastes ater (Coleoptera: Scolytidae). Agricultural and Forest Entomology, 9 (2). pp. 115-124. ISSN 1461-9555 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1461-9563.2007.00328.x
- Oliver, T.H. , Cook, J.M. and Leather, S.R. (2007) When are ant-attractant devices a worthwhile investment? Vicia faba extrafloral nectaries and Lasius niger ants. Population Ecology, 49 (3). pp. 265-273. ISSN 1438-3896 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10144-007-0044-6
2006
- Oliver, T. H., Timms, J. E. L., Taylor, A. and Leather, S. R. (2006) Oviposition responses to patch quality in the larch ladybird Aphidecta obliterata (Coleoptera: Coccinellidae): effects of aphid density, and con- and heterospecific tracks. Bulletin of Entomological Research, 96 (1). pp. 25-34. ISSN 0007-4853 doi: https://doi.org/10.1079/BER2005395
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