Promise

	Plant Environment Laboratory

Virtual Crops

PROMISE: predictability and variability of monsoons, and the agricultural and hydrological impacts of climate change
Background The majority of the world's population live in countries which rely on the regular return of the monsoon rains. In these regions, it is important to know what variations there are likely to be in climate, and how these may impact on key features such as water resources and agriculture. Food production in seasonally arid areas is inherently risky. The PROMISE project seeks to develop an integrated approach towards seasonal and climate change prediction in which the impact on local hydrology and agriculture are part of the prediction process
	Collaborators Department of Meteorology University of Reading (Coordinator) 10 research centres across Europe Promise website
Publications CHALLINOR, A.J., SLINGO, J.M., WHEELER, T.R., CRAUFURD, P.Q. and GRIMES, D.I.F. (2002). Toward a combined seasonal weather and crop productivity forecasting system: determination of the working spatial scale. Journal of Applied Meteorology 42: 175-192. CHALLINOR, A.J., WHEELER, T.R., SLINGO, J.M., GRIMES, D.I.F. and CRAUFURD, P.Q. (2002). Towards the development of integrated weather/crop forecasting systems. Journal of Agricultural Science 139: 109-109.	Intended outcomes from PEL Publication of guidelines for the development of integrated seasonal weather and crop forecasting systems