Staff Profile:Professor Hannah Cloke

Name:

Professor Hannah Cloke

Job Title:

Professor of Hydrology

Responsibilities:

• Co-Director of Water@Reading
• Research in Forecasting and Modelling Environmental Processes
• Undergraduate and Postgraduate Teaching

Areas of Interest:

• Forecasting floods, droughts and other natural hazards
• Land surface modelling and reanalysis
• Catchment hydrology; Large scale hydrology
• Climate impact on water resources
• Applications of Numerical Weather Prediction
• Forecast verification, uncertainty analysis

Postgraduate (PhD) Supervision:

Hannah is keen to discuss proposals for postgraduate research in the above areas.

Current students:   

Rebecca Emerton. Global flood forecasting and the implications of climate change on flood characteristics and flood forecasting. With ECMWF. Funded by NERC SCENARIO.

Azin Howells. Representing uncertainty in land surface hydrology for seasonal forecasting. Project IMPETUS: Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making. NERC Droughts Programme.

Louise Arnal. Improving seasonal hydrological forecasting for Europe. Project IMPREX: IMproving PRedictions and management of hydrological Extremes. Horizon2020 programme.

Leonore Boelee. Global Real Time Flood Risk Forecasting. Open University/HR Wallingford.

Ervin Zsoter. Understanding global flood hazard climatology for improved early flood warning. Funded by a Wilkie Calvert Studentship at ECMWF.

Jamie Towner. Climate variability and extended-range flood forecasting for the Peruvian Amazon. With Red Cross Climate Centre. Funded by NERC SCENARIO.

Phiala Mehring. Implementing Natural Flood Risk Management. Funded by University of Reading regional scholarship.

Postdoctoral Researchers and Research Fellows:

Dr Elisabeth Stephens

Dr David Mason 

Dr Anna Mueller

Dr Jess Neumann

Research groups / Centres:

• Water@Reading
• Department of Meteorology
• Walker Institute for Climate System Research 

Key Facts:

Hannah Cloke is a hydrologist and physical geographer specializing in land surface modelling, flood forecasting, applications of Numerical Weather Predictions and catchment hydrology. Her current research focuses on the theoretical and practical development of early warning systems for natural hazards, particularly for floods and droughts and disaster risk management. She is an elected fellow of the Royal Geographical Society and the Royal Meteorological Society. She works closely with the Environment Agency, the UK Met Office, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) as well as a wide range of other national and international partners. Hannah advises government on national and international flooding incidents and provides expert commentary in the media. Hannah is currently a member of the of the Environment Agency Long Term Investment Scenarios Advisory Group and the Environment Agency-DEFRA R&D flood science programme advisory group. Hannah is Executive editor of Hydrology and Earth System Sciences. She also sits on the NERC Peer Review Panel B, is a member of the HEPEX project and a committee member of the EGU Hydrology Catchment hydrology section. In January 2015 Hannah was awarded the NERC Early Career Impact Award and was runner up in the Guardian University Awards for impact 2016. Click here to watch a short video from NERC on her work. Hannah obtained a BSc (1999) and PhD (2003) in Geography from the University of Bristol. She then worked as a Research Associate at the European Commission Joint Research Centre in Ispra, Italy, working on the European Flood Alert System and then from 2004 lectured at in the Department of Geography at King's College London. In 2012 she moved to the University of Reading; to a joint post between the Department of Geography and Environmental Science and the Department of Meteorology, where she is now Professor of Hydrology and Co-Director of Water@Reading.

 

Current Research projects:

• ANYWHERE. EnhANcing emergencY management and response to extreme WeatHER and climate Events. Horizon 2020. 2016-2019.
• TENDERLY. NERC Flooding from Intense Rainfall Programme 2016-2019.
• IMPREX. IMproving PRedictions and management of hydrological Extremes. Horizon 2020. 2015-2018.
• ELiGLOFAS. Embracing local knowledge in the Global Flood Awareness System. World Bank/UNISDR. 2015-2016.
• Project SINATRA: Susceptibility of catchments to Intense RAinfall and flooding. NERC Flooding From Intense Rainfall Programme. Hannah is Project Director of this large consortium grant. 2013-2017. See: Flooding From Intense Rainfall
• IMPETUS. Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making. NERC UK Droughts and Water Scarcity Programme. 2014-2017.

Publications:

Y

Jump to: 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2006 | 2003

Number of items: 58.

2016

• Arnal, L., Ramos, M.-H., Coughlan de Perez, E., Cloke, H., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., van Andel, S.-J. and Pappenberger, F. (2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20 (8). pp. 3109-3128. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016
• MacLeod, D., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2016) Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20 (7). pp. 2737-2743. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: 10.5194/hess-20-2737-2016
• Emerton, R. E., Stephens, E. M., Pappenberger, F., Pagano, T. C., Weerts, A. H., Wood, A. W., Salamon, P., Brown, J. D., Hjerdt, N., Donnelly, C., Baugh, C. and Cloke, H. L. (2016) Continental and global scale flood forecasting systems. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 3 (3). pp. 391-418. ISSN 2049-1948 doi: 10.1002/wat2.1137
• Mason, D. C., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. and Dance, S. L. (2016) Evidence of a topographic signal in surface soil moisture derived from ENVISAT ASAR wide swath data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 45. pp. 178-186. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2015.02.004
• Mason, D. C., Trigg, M., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L., Neal , J. C. and Bates, P. D. (2016) Improving the TanDEM-X Digital Elevation Model for flood modelling using flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Remote Sensing of Environment, 173. pp. 15-28. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2015.11.018
• Macleod, D. A., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2016) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 79-90. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2631

2015

• Stephens, E., Day, J. J., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. (2015) Precipitation and floodiness. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (23). pp. 10316-10323. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL066779
• Mason, D. C., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. and Dance, S. L. (2015) The potential of flood forecasting using a variable-resolution global Digital Terrain Model and flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Frontiers in Earth Science, 3. 43. ISSN 2296-6463 doi: 10.3389/feart.2015.00043
• Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Parker, D. J., Wetterhall, F., Richardson, D. S. and Thielen, J. (2015) The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe. Environmental Science and Policy, 51. pp. 278-291. ISSN 1873-6416 doi: 10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016
• Kauffeldt, A., Halldin, S., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Xu, C.-Y. and Cloke, H. L. (2015) Imbalanced land-surface water budgets in a numerical weather prediction system. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (11). pp. 4411-4417. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL064230
• Pappenberger, F., Ramos, M. H., Cloke, H. L., Wetterhall, F., Alfieri, L., Bogner, K., Mueller, A. and Salamon, P. (2015) How do I know if my forecasts are better? Using benchmarks in Hydrological ensemble prediction. Journal of Hydrology, 522. pp. 697-713. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.024
• Beven, K., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F., Lamb, R. and Hunter, N. (2015) Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface. Science China Earth Sciences, 58 (1). pp. 25-35. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: 10.1007/s11430-014-5003-4
• Balsamo, G. , Albergel, C., Beljaars, A., Boussetta, S., Brun, E., Cloke, H., Dee, D., Dutra, E., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Pappenberger, F., de Rosnay, P., Stockdale, T. and Vitart, F. (2015) ERA-Interim/Land: a global land surface reanalysis data set. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19 (1). pp. 389-407. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-19-389-2015
• Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D., Dance, S. L., Cloke, H., Neal, J. C., Freer, J. and Bates, P. D. (2015) Satellite-supported flood forecasting in river networks: a real case study. Journal of Hydrology, 523. pp. 706-724. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.084

2014

• Pagano, T. C., Wood, A. W., Ramos, M.-H., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Clark, M. P., Cranston, M., Kavetski, D., Mathevet, T., Sorooshian, S. and Verkade, J. S. (2014) Challenges of operational river forecasting. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15 (4). pp. 1692-1707. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-0188.1
• Stephens, E. and Cloke, H. (2014) Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond). Geographical Journal, 180 (4). pp. 310-316. ISSN 1475-4959 doi: 10.1111/geoj.12103
• Ye, J., He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Manful, D. Y. and Li, Z. (2014) Evaluation of ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (682). pp. 1615-1628. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2243
• Sampson, C. C., Fewtrell, T. J., O'Loughlin, F., Pappenberger, F., Bates, P., Freer, J. E. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) The impact of uncertain precipitation data on insurance loss estimates using a flood catastrophe model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18. pp. 2305-2324. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-18-2305-2014
• Mason, D. C., Giustarini, L., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Detection of flooded urban areas in high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar images using double scattering. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 28. pp. 150-159. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2013.12.002
• Pappenberger, F., Jendritzky, G., Staiger, H., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Richardson, D. S. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). International Journal of Biometeorology, 59 (3). pp. 311-323. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: 10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3
• Souvignet, M., Laux, P., Freer, J., Cloke, H., Thinh, D. Q., Thuc, T., Cullmann, J., Nauditt, A., Flugel, W.-A., Kunstmann, H. and Ribbe, L. (2014) Recent climatic trends and linkages to river discharge in Central Vietnam. Hydrological Processes, 28 (4). pp. 1587-1601. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9693

2013

• Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F., Alfieri, L., Cloke, H. L., Thielen-del Pozo, J., Balabanova, S., Daňhelka, J., Vogelbacher, A., Salamon, P., Carrasco, I., Cabrera-Tordera, A. J., Corzo-Toscano, M., Garcia-Padilla, M., Garcia-Sanchez, R. J., Ardilouze, C., Jurela, S., Terek, B., Csik, A., Casey, J., Stankūnavičius, G., Ceres, V., Sprokkereef, E., Stam, J., Anghel, E., Vladikovic, D., Alionte Eklund, C., Hjerdt, N., Djerv, H., Holmberg, F., Nilsson, J., Nyström, K., Sušnik, M., Hazlinger, M. and Holubecka, M. (2013) Forecasters priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts. Hydology and Earth System Sciences, 17. pp. 4389-4399. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: 10.5194/hess-17-4389-2013
• Parkes, B. L., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Neal, J. and Demeritt, D. (2013) Reducing inconsistencies in point observations of maximum flood inundation level. Earth Interactions, 17 (6). pp. 1-27. ISSN 1087-3562 doi: 10.1175/2012EI000475.1
• Dutra , E., Magnusson, L., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G., Boussetta, S. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) The 2010-2011 drought in the Horn of Africa in ECMWF reanalysis and seasonal forecast products. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (7). pp. 1720-1729. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3545
• Demeritt, D., Nobert, S. , Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) The European Flood Alert System and the communication, perception, and use of ensemble predictions for operational flood risk management. Hydrological Processes, 27 (1). pp. 147-157. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9419
• Cloke, H. L., Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Freer, J. E. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) Modelling climate impact on floods with ensemble climate projections. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (671 part B). pp. 282-297. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1998
• Parkes, , B. L., Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F. , He, , Y., Malamud, B. D. and Cloke, H. (2013) Assessment of a 1 hour gridded precipitation dataset to drive a hydrological model: a case study of the summer 2007 floods in the Upper Severn, UK. Hydrology Research, 44 (1). pp. 89-105. ISSN 0029-1277 doi: 10.2166/nh.2011.025 (Vol 44 No 1 pp 89–105)
• He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Manful, D., Cloke, H. L., Bates, P., Wetterhall, F. and Parkes, B. (2013) Flood inundation dynamics and socioeconomic vulnerability under environmental change. In: Hossain, F. (ed.) Vulnerability of Water Resources to Climate. Climate Vulnerability, 5. Elsevier Sciences, pp. 241-255. doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00508-6
• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., van Andel, S. J., Schaake, J., Thielen, J. and Ramos, M.-H. (2013) Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS). Preface to special issue. Hydrological Processes, 27 (1). pp. 1-4. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9679
• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Thielen, J. and Thiemig, V. (2013) Operational flood forecasting in Europe. In: Wainwright, J. and Mulligan, M. (eds.) Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity. Wiley-Blackwell, New York, pp. 315-434. ISBN 9780470749111

2012

• Dutra, E., Magnusson, L., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G., Boussetta, S. and Pappenberger, F., (2012) The 2010-2011 drought in the Horn of Africa. ECMWF Newsletters. 131. Technical Report. ECMWF (Spring 2012)
• Beven, K. J. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Comment on: Hyperresolution global land surface modeling: Meeting a grand challenge for monitoring Earth's terrestrial water by Eric F Wood et al. Water Resources Research, 48 (1). W01801. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: 10.1029/2011WR010982
• Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F., He, Y., Freer, J. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Conditioning model output statistics of regional climate model precipitation on circulation patterns. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 19. pp. 623-633. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-19-623-2012
• Pappenberger, F., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F. and Cloke, H.L. (2012) Deriving global flood hazard maps of fluvial floods through a physical model cascade. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16 (11). pp. 4143-4156. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-16-4143-2012
• Bogner, K., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., De Roo, A. and Thielen, J. (2012) Improving the evaluation of hydrological multi-model forecast performance in the Upper Danube Catchment. International Journal of River Basin Management, 10 (1). pp. 1-12. ISSN 1814-2060 doi: 10.1080/15715124.2011.625359
• Balsamo, G., Albergel, A., Beljaars, A., Boussetta, S., Brun, E., Cloke, H. L. and Dee, D., (2012) Land: a global land-surface reanalysis based on ERA-interim meteorological forcing. ERA Report Series. 13. Technical Report. ECMWF
• Bogner, K., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Technical Note: The normal quantile transformation and its application in a flood forecasting system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16. pp. 1085-1094. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-16-1085-2012

2011

• De Roo, A., Thielen, J., Salamon, P., Bogner, K., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. L., Demeritt, D., Younis, J., Kalas, M., Bodis, K., Muraro, D. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Quality control, validation and user feedback of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS). International Journal of Digital Earth, 4 (1). pp. 77-90. ISSN 1753-8955 doi: 10.1080/17538947.2010.510302
• Bao, H.-J., Zhao, L.-N., He, Y., Li, Z.-J., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Manful, D. (2011) Coupling ensemble weather predictions based on TIGGE database with Grid-Xinanjiang model for flood forecast. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 61-67. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-29-61-2011
• Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Effects of temporal resolution of input precipitation on the performance of hydrological forecasting. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 21-25. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-29-21-2011
• Pappenberger, F., Bogner, K., Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. L. and Thielen, J. (2011) Forecast convergence score: a forecaster's approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 27-32. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-29-27-2011
• Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. L. (2011) HESS Opinions: On forecast (in)consistency in a hydro-meteorological chain: curse or blessing? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (7). pp. 2391-2400. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-15-2391-2011
• Cloke, H. L. and Hannah, D. M. (2011) Large-scale hydrology: advances in understanding processes, dynamics and models from beyond river basin to global scale. Preface to special issue. Hydrological Processes, 25 (7). pp. 991-995. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.8059
• Cloke, H. L., Weisheimer, A. and Pappenberger , F. (2011) Representing uncertainty in land surface hydrology: fully coupled simulations with the ECMWF land surface scheme. In: ECMWF/WMO/WCRP Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and Error in Numerical Weather and climate Prediction Models, 20-24 June 2011, ECMWF, Reading UK.

2010

• Cloke, H. L., Jeffers, C., Wetterhall, F., Byrne, T., Lowe, J. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Climate impacts on river flow: projections for the Medway catchment UK with UKCP09 and CATCHMOD. Hydrological Processes, 24 (24). pp. 3476-3489. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.7769
• Demeritt, D., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting. Meteorological Applications, 17 (2). pp. 209-222. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.194
• He, Y., Wetterhall, F., Bao, H., Cloke, H., Li, Z., Pappenberger, F., Hu, Y., Manful, D. and Huang, Y. (2010) Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 11 (2). pp. 132-138. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.270
• Nobert, S., Demeritt, D. and Cloke, H. (2010) Informing operational flood management with ensemble predictions: lessons from Sweden. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 3 (1). pp. 72-79. ISSN 1753-318X doi: 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2009.01056.x
• Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G.-P. and Oki, T. (2010) Global runoff routing with the hydrological component of the ECMWF NWP system. International Journal of Climatology, 30. pp. 2155-2174. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2028

2009

• Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2009) Ensemble flood forecasting: a review. Journal of Hydrology, 375 (3-4). pp. 613-626. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.005
• Cloke, H. L., (2009) Progress in the implementation of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS) in Europe for operational flood forecasting. ECMWF Newsletters. 121. Technical Report. ECMWF (Autumn 2009)
• He, Y., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Wilson, M., Freer, J. and McGregor, G. (2009) Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions. Meteorological Applications, 16 (1). pp. 91-101. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.132

2008

• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Renaud, J.-P. (2008) Multi‐method global sensitivity analysis (MMGSA) for modelling floodplain hydrological processes. Hydrological Processes, 22 (11). pp. 1660-1674. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.6734
• Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2008) Evaluating forecasts of extreme events for hydrological applications: an approach for screening unfamiliar performance measures. Meteorological Applications, 15 (1). pp. 181-197. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.58
• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Renaud , J.-P. (2008) Multi-method global sensitivity analysis (MMGSA) for modelling floodplain hydrological processes. Hydrological Processes, 22 (11). pp. 1660-1674. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.6734
• Pappenberger, F., Bartholmes, J., Thielen, J., Cloke, H. L., Buizza, R. and de Roo, A. (2008) New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions. Geophysical Research Letters, 35. L10404. ISSN 1944–8007 doi: 10.1029/2008GL033837

2006

• Cloke, H. L., Anderson, M. G., McDonnell, J. J. and Renaud, J. -P. (2006) Using numerical modelling to evaluate the capillary fringe groundwater ridging hypothesis of streamflow generation. Journal of Hydrology, 316 (1-4). pp. 141-162. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.04.017

2003

• Cloke, H. L., Renaud, J.-P., Claxton, A. J., McDonnell, J. J., Anderson, M. G., Blake, J. R. and Bates, P. D. (2003) The effect of model configuration on modelled hillslope–riparian interactions. Journal of Hydrology, 279 (1-4). pp. 167-181. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00177-X

This list was generated on Sun Sep 25 01:45:17 2016 BST.