Staff Profile:Professor Hannah Cloke

Name:

Professor Hannah Cloke

Job Title:

Professor of Hydrology

Responsibilities:

• Co-Director of Water@Reading with Dr Liz Stephens
• Research in Forecasting and Modelling Environmental Processes and Natural Hazards
• Undergraduate and Postgraduate Teaching

Areas of Interest:

• Forecasting floods, droughts and other Natural Hazards
• Early warning and Disaster Risk Management
• Applications of Numerical Weather Prediction
• Catchment hydrology; Large scale hydrology
• Climate impact on water resources
• Land surface modelling and reanalysis
• Forecast verification, uncertainty analysis

Postgraduate (PhD) Supervision:

Hannah currently supervises a number of postgraduates:

• Louise Arnal: Seasonal hydrological forecasting over Europe: prospects and applications. Project IMPREX: IMproving PRedictions and management of hydrological Extremes. Horizon2020 programme.
• Siobhan Dolan: Early warning of flash flood and landslide risk in S Asia. Funded by NERC SHEAR Programme. With ECMWF and British Geological Survey.
• Rebecca Emerton: Implications of changes in climate regime for flood characteristics and global flood forecasting. With ECMWF. Funded by NERC SCENARIO.
• Fatima Pillosu: Statistical analysis of ECMWF Ensemble to improve rainfall inputs in real-time flood forecasting systems. Forecast Department, ECMWF
• Sofia Theofanidi: Improving and evaluating flood forecasting models for improved flood resilience from local to global scales.
• Azin Wright: The effect of land surface hydrological process representation (paramaterization and parameter uncertainty) on drought prediction, at a range of spatio-temporal scales. Project IMPETUS: Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making. NERC Droughts Programme.
• Ervin Zsoter: Understanding global flood hazard climatology for improved early flood warning. Funded by a Wilkie Calvert Studentship at ECMWF
• Helen Titley: Global flood predictability, early warning and the communication of probabilistic forecasts. Funded by the Met Office.
• David Richardson: Verification and diagnostics of ensemble-based earth-system models. Funded by a Wilkie Calvert Studentship at ECMWF
• Maureen Anyango Wanzala: Seamless seasonal to sub-seasonal forecasts of flood risk in River Nzioa Basin. Funded by a Commonwealth Scholarship. Anticipated Jan 2019.

Hannah is keen to discuss proposals for postgraduate research in the above areas.

Hannah also co-supervises a number of other students:   

• Leonore Boelee: Global Real Time Flood Risk Forecasting. Open University/HR Wallingford.
• Sazzad Hossain: Extended range hydrometeorological forecasting for improved flood early warning to supporting earlier flood preparedness. Funded by NERC SHEAR Programme.
• Sifan Koriche: Developing a Quaternary Lake Basin Model for the Ponto-Caspian Basins (Black Sea, Caspian Sea). Marie Curie Early Stage Researcher. (Primary supervisor, Joy Singarayer).
• Phiala Mehring: Implementing Natural Flood Risk Management. Funded by University of Reading regional scholarship. (Primary supervisor, Hilary Geoghegan).
• Jamie Towner: Climate variability and extended-range flood forecasting for the Peruvian Amazon. With Red Cross Climate Centre. Funded by NERC SCENARIO.  (Primary supervisory: Liz Stephens).
• Elisa Savelli: Hydrological extremes and society: case studies. At Uppsala University.

Postdoctoral Researchers and Research Fellows:

Dr David Mason (senior research fellow in remote sensing and data assimilation for hydrology)

Dr Jess Neumann, IMPREX/LANDWISE project

Dr Claudia Di Napoli, ANYWHERE project

Dr Andrea Ficchi, FATHUM project

Dr Chloe Largeron, TENDERLY project

Research groups / Centres:

Hannah is a member of the following:

• Water@Reading
• Department of Meteorology
• Walker Institute for Climate System Research 

Key Facts:

• Hannah Cloke is a hydrologist and physical geographer specialising in land surface modelling, flood forecasting, applications of Numerical Weather Predictions and catchment hydrology. Her current research focuses on the theoretical and practical development of early warning systems for natural hazards, particularly for floods and droughts and disaster risk management.

• Hannah is Visiting Professor in the Department of Earth Sciences at Uppsala University, Sweden. She is an elected fellow of the Royal Geographical Society and the Royal Meteorological Society. She works closely with the Environment Agency, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the UK Met Office, as well as a wide range of other national and international partners. Hannah advises government on national and international flooding incidents and provides expert commentary in the media. Hannah is currently a member of the of the Environment Agency Long Term Investment Scenarios Advisory Group and the Environment Agency-DEFRA R&D flood science programme advisory group. Hannah is Executive editor of Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, is a member of the HEPEX project and a committee member of the EGU Hydrology Catchment hydrology section.

• Hannah was awarded the 2015 NERC Early Career Impact Award, was runner up in the Guardian University Awards for impact 2016, and has been awarded the 2018 Plinius Medal of the European Geosciences Union in recognition of her outstanding interdisciplinary research in natural hazards. Click here to watch a short video from NERC on her work.

• Hannah obtained a BSc (1999) and PhD (2003) in Geography from the University of Bristol, UK. She then worked at the European Commission Joint Research Centre in Ispra, Italy on the European Flood Alert System and then from 2004 lectured at in the Department of Geography at King's College London, UK. In 2012 she moved to the University of Reading; to a joint post between the Department of Geography and Environmental Science and the Department of Meteorology, where she is now Professor of Hydrology and Co-Director of Water@Reading.

Current Research projects:

• LANDWISE LAND Management in lowland catchments for Integrated flood riSk rEduction, NERC Evaluating the Effectiveness of Natural Flood Management Programme. Led by Dr Jo Clark. 2018-2021
• FATHUM. Forecasts for AnTicipatory HUManitarian action (FATHUM). NERC Science for Humanitarian Emergencies and Resilience (SHEAR) Programme. See: Forecast based Financing. Led by Dr Liz Stephens. 2017-2020.
• ANYWHERE. EnhANcing emergencY management and response to extreme WeatHER and climate Events. Horizon 2020. 2016-2019.
• TENDERLY. NERC Flooding from Intense Rainfall Programme 2016-2019. See: Flooding From Intense Rainfall
• IMPREX. IMproving PRedictions and management of hydrological Extremes. Horizon 2020. 2015-2018.
• SINATRA: Susceptibility of catchments to Intense RAinfall and flooding. NERC Flooding From Intense Rainfall Programme. Hannah is Project Director of this large consortium grant. 2013-2019. See: Flooding From Intense Rainfall
• IMPETUS. Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making. NERC UK Droughts and Water Scarcity Programme. 2014-2018.
• Loddon Observatory. Led by Dr Jo Clark.

Publications:

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Jump to: 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2006 | 2003

Number of items: 82.

2019

• Vitolo, C., Di Napoli, C., Di Giuseppe, F., Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2019) Mapping combined wildfire and heat stress hazards to improve evidence-based decision making. Environment International, 127. pp. 21-34. ISSN 0160-4120 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envint.2019.03.008
• Di Napoli, C., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. L. (2019) Verification of heat stress thresholds for a health-based heatwave definition. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 58 (6). pp. 1177-1194. ISSN 1558-8432 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JAMC-D-18-0246.1
• Zsoter, E., Cloke, H., Stephens, E., De Rosnay, P., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Prudhomme, C. and Pappenberger, F. (2019) How well do operational Numerical Weather Prediction configurations represent hydrology? Journal of Hydrometeorology. ISSN 1525-7541 (In Press)
• Emerton, R. E., Stephens, E. M. and Cloke, H. L. (2019) What is the most useful approach for forecasting hydrological extremes during El Niño? Environmental Research Communications, 1 (3). ISSN 2515-7620 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/2515-7620/ab114e
• Boelee, L., Lumbroso, D. M., Samuels, P. G. and Cloke, H. L. (2019) Estimation of uncertainty in flood forecasts - a comparison of methods. Journal of Flood Risk Management. ISSN 1753-318X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12516
• Towner, J., Cloke, H. L., Zsoter, E., Flamig, Z., Hoch, J. M., Bazo, J., Coughlan de Perez, E. and Stephens, E. M. (2019) Assessing the performance of global hydrological models for capturing peak river flows in the Amazon basin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23 (7). pp. 3057-3080. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3057-2019
• Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L. and Baugh, C. A. (2019) Cartograms for use in forecasting weather driven natural hazards. The Cartographic Journal, 56 (2). pp. 134-145. ISSN 0008-7041 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/00087041.2018.1534358
• Dance, S. L., Ballard, S. P., Bannister, R. N., Clark, P., Cloke, H. L., Darlington, T., Flack, D. L. A., Gray, S. L., Hawkness-Smith, L., Husnoo, N., Illingworth, A. J., Kelly, G. A., Lean, H. W., Li, D., Nichols, N. K., Nicol, J. C., Oxley, A., Plant, R. S., Roberts, N. M., Roulstone, I., Simonin, D., Thompson, R. J. and Waller, J. A. (2019) Improvements in forecasting intense rainfall: results from the FRANC (forecasting rainfall exploiting new data assimilation techniques and novel observations of convection) project. Atmosphere, 10 (3). 125. ISSN 2073-4433 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos10030125

2018

• Neumann, J., Arnal, L., Emerton, R., Griffith, H., Hyslop, S., Theofanidi, S. and Cloke, H. (2018) Can seasonal hydrological forecasts inform local decisions and actions? A decision-making activity. Geoscience Communications, 1. pp. 35-57. ISSN 2569-7110 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-1-35-2018
• Mehring, P., Geoghegan, H., Cloke, H. L. and Clark, J. M. (2018) What is going wrong with community engagement? How flood communities and flood authorities construct engagement and partnership working. Environmental Science & Policy, 89. pp. 109-115. ISSN 1462-9011 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2018.07.009
• Mason, D. C., Dance, S. L., Vetra-Carvalho, S. and Cloke, H. L. (2018) Robust algorithm for detecting floodwater in urban areas using Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing, 12 (4). 045011. ISSN 1931-3195 doi: https://doi.org/10.1117/1.JRS.12.045011
• Emerton, R., Zsoter, E., Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L., Muraro, D., Prudhomme, C., Stephens, E. M., Salamon, P. and Pappenberger, F. (2018) Developing a global operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS-Seasonal v1.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 11. pp. 3327-3346. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2018-118
• Hirpa, F. A., Pappenberger, F., Arnal, L., Baugh, C. A., Cloke, H. L., Dutra, E., Emerton, R. E., Revilla-Romero, B., Salamon, P., Smith, P. J., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Zsoter, E. and Thielen-del Pozo, J. (2018) Global flood forecasting for averting disasters worldwide. In: Schumann, G. J.-P., Bates, P. D., Apel, H. and Aronica, G. T. (eds.) Global Flood Hazard: Applications in Modeling, Mapping, and Forecasting. Geophysical Monograph Series (233). Wiley, pp. 205-228. ISBN 9781119217862 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/9781119217886.ch12
• Di Napoli, C., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. (2018) Assessing heat-related health risk in Europe via the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). International Journal of Biometeorology, 62 (7). pp. 1155-1165. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-018-1518-2
• Neumann, J., Arnal, L., Magnusson, L. and Cloke, H. (2018) The 2013/14 Thames basin floods: do improved meteorological forecasts lead to more skilful hydrological forecasts at seasonal timescales? Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19. pp. 1059-1075. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0182.1
• Largeron, C., Cloke, H. L., Verhoef, A., Martinez-de la Torre, A. and Mueller, A., (2018) Impact of the representation of the infiltration on the river flow during intense rainfall events in JULES. ECMWF Technical Memoranda. 821. Technical Report. ECMWF, Reading, U.K..
• Balsamo, G., Agustì-Parareda, A., Albergel, C., Arduini, G., Beljaars, A., Bidlot, J., Bousserez, N., Boussetta, S., Brown, A., Buizza, R., Buontempo, C., Chevallier, F., Choulga, M., Cloke, H., Cronin, M., Dahoui, M., De Rosnay, P., Dirmeyer, P., Drusch, M., Dutra, E., Ek, M., Gentine, P., Hewitt, H., Keeley, S., Kerr, Y., Kumar, S., Lupu, C., Mahfouf, J.-F., McNorton, J., Mecklenburg, S., Mogensen, K., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Orth, R., Rabier, F., Reichle, R., Ruston, B., Pappenberger, F., Sandu, I., Seneviratne, S., Tietsche, S., Trigo, I., Uijlenhoet, R., Wedi, N., Woolway, R. I. and Zeng, X. (2018) Satellite and in situ observations for advancing global Earth surface modelling: a review. Remote Sensing, 10 (12). 2038. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10122038
• Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Prudhomme, C., Neumann, J., Krzeminski, B. and Pappenberger, F. (2018) Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 22 (4). pp. 2057-2072. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018

2017

• Arnal, L., Wood, A. W., Stephens, E., Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2017) An efficient approach for estimating streamflow forecast skill elasticity. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18 (6). pp. 1715-1729. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0259.1
• Cloke, H., di Baldassarre, G., Landeg, O., Pappenberger, F. and Ramos, M.-H. (2017) Understanding disaster risk: hazard related issues - hydrological risk: flood. In: Poljanšek, K., Marín Ferrer, M., De Groeve, T. and Clark, I. (eds.) Science for Disaster Risk Management 2017: Knowing Better and Losing Less. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, pp. 198-208. ISBN 9789279606793 doi: https://doi.org/10.2788/842809
• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Smith, P. J. and Wetterhall, F. (2017) How do I know if I’ve improved my continental scale flood early warning system? Environmental Research Letters, 12 (4). 044006. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aa625a
• Emerton, R., Cloke, H. L., Stephens, E. M., Zsoter, E., Woolnough, S. J. and Pappenberger, F. (2017) Complex picture for likelihood of ENSO-driven flood hazard. Nature Communications, 8. 14796. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms14796

2016

• Mueller, A., Dutra, E., Cloke, H., Verhoef, A., Balsamo, G. and Pappenberger, F., (2016) Water infiltration and redistribution in Land Surface Models. Technical Memorandum. 791. Technical Report. ECMWF, Reading, UK.
• Arnal, L., Ramos, M.-H., Coughlan de Perez, E., Cloke, H., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., van Andel, S.-J. and Pappenberger, F. (2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20 (8). pp. 3109-3128. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016
• MacLeod, D., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2016) Evaluating uncertainty in estimates of soil moisture memory with a reverse ensemble approach. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20 (7). pp. 2737-2743. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2737-2016
• Emerton, R. E., Stephens, E. M., Pappenberger, F., Pagano, T. C., Weerts, A. H., Wood, A. W., Salamon, P., Brown, J. D., Hjerdt, N., Donnelly, C., Baugh, C. and Cloke, H. L. (2016) Continental and global scale flood forecasting systems. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 3 (3). pp. 391-418. ISSN 2049-1948 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1137
• Mason, D. C., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. and Dance, S. L. (2016) Evidence of a topographic signal in surface soil moisture derived from ENVISAT ASAR wide swath data. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 45. pp. 178-186. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2015.02.004
• Mason, D. C., Trigg, M., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L., Neal, J. C. and Bates, P. D. (2016) Improving the TanDEM-X Digital Elevation Model for flood modelling using flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Remote Sensing of Environment, 173. pp. 15-28. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rse.2015.11.018
• Macleod, D. A., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Weisheimer, A. (2016) Improved seasonal prediction of the hot summer of 2003 over Europe through better representation of uncertainty in the land surface. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (694). pp. 79-90. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2631

2015

• Stephens, E., Day, J. J., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. (2015) Precipitation and floodiness. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (23). pp. 10316-10323. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL066779
• Mason, D. C., Garcia-Pintado, J., Cloke, H. L. and Dance, S. L. (2015) The potential of flood forecasting using a variable-resolution global Digital Terrain Model and flood extents from Synthetic Aperture Radar images. Frontiers in Earth Science, 3. 43. ISSN 2296-6463 doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2015.00043
• Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Parker, D. J., Wetterhall, F., Richardson, D. S. and Thielen, J. (2015) The monetary benefit of early flood warnings in Europe. Environmental Science and Policy, 51. pp. 278-291. ISSN 1873-6416 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2015.04.016
• Kauffeldt, A., Halldin, S., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Xu, C.-Y. and Cloke, H. L. (2015) Imbalanced land-surface water budgets in a numerical weather prediction system. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (11). pp. 4411-4417. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064230
• Pappenberger, F., Ramos, M. H., Cloke, H. L., Wetterhall, F., Alfieri, L., Bogner, K., Mueller, A. and Salamon, P. (2015) How do I know if my forecasts are better? Using benchmarks in Hydrological ensemble prediction. Journal of Hydrology, 522. pp. 697-713. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.024
• Beven, K., Cloke, H., Pappenberger, F., Lamb, R. and Hunter, N. (2015) Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface. Science China Earth Sciences, 58 (1). pp. 25-35. ISSN 1869-1897 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-014-5003-4
• Balsamo, G., Albergel, C., Beljaars, A., Boussetta, S., Brun, E., Cloke, H., Dee, D., Dutra, E., Muñoz-Sabater, J., Pappenberger, F., de Rosnay, P., Stockdale, T. and Vitart, F. (2015) ERA-Interim/Land: a global land surface reanalysis data set. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19 (1). pp. 389-407. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-389-2015
• Garcia-Pintado, J., Mason, D., Dance, S. L., Cloke, H., Neal, J. C., Freer, J. and Bates, P. D. (2015) Satellite-supported flood forecasting in river networks: a real case study. Journal of Hydrology, 523. pp. 706-724. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.01.084

2014

• Pagano, T. C., Wood, A. W., Ramos, M.-H., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Clark, M. P., Cranston, M., Kavetski, D., Mathevet, T., Sorooshian, S. and Verkade, J. S. (2014) Challenges of operational river forecasting. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 15 (4). pp. 1692-1707. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-13-0188.1
• Stephens, E. and Cloke, H. (2014) Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond). Geographical Journal, 180 (4). pp. 310-316. ISSN 1475-4959 doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/geoj.12103
• Ye, J., He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Manful, D. Y. and Li, Z. (2014) Evaluation of ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (682). pp. 1615-1628. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2243
• Sampson, C. C., Fewtrell, T. J., O'Loughlin, F., Pappenberger, F., Bates, P., Freer, J. E. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) The impact of uncertain precipitation data on insurance loss estimates using a flood catastrophe model. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 18. pp. 2305-2324. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2305-2014
• Mason, D. C., Giustarini, L., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Detection of flooded urban areas in high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar images using double scattering. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 28. pp. 150-159. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jag.2013.12.002
• Pappenberger, F., Jendritzky, G., Staiger, H., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Richardson, D. S. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). International Journal of Biometeorology, 59 (3). pp. 311-323. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3
• Souvignet, M., Laux, P., Freer, J., Cloke, H., Thinh, D. Q., Thuc, T., Cullmann, J., Nauditt, A., Flugel, W.-A., Kunstmann, H. and Ribbe, L. (2014) Recent climatic trends and linkages to river discharge in Central Vietnam. Hydrological Processes, 28 (4). pp. 1587-1601. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9693

2013

• Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F., Alfieri, L., Cloke, H. L., Thielen-del Pozo, J., Balabanova, S., Daňhelka, J., Vogelbacher, A., Salamon, P., Carrasco, I., Cabrera-Tordera, A. J., Corzo-Toscano, M., Garcia-Padilla, M., Garcia-Sanchez, R. J., Ardilouze, C., Jurela, S., Terek, B., Csik, A., Casey, J., Stankūnavičius, G., Ceres, V., Sprokkereef, E., Stam, J., Anghel, E., Vladikovic, D., Alionte Eklund, C., Hjerdt, N., Djerv, H., Holmberg, F., Nilsson, J., Nyström, K., Sušnik, M., Hazlinger, M. and Holubecka, M. (2013) Forecasters priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts. Hydology and Earth System Sciences, 17. pp. 4389-4399. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4389-2013
• Parkes, B. L., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Neal, J. and Demeritt, D. (2013) Reducing inconsistencies in point observations of maximum flood inundation level. Earth Interactions, 17 (6). pp. 1-27. ISSN 1087-3562 doi: https://doi.org/10.1175/2012EI000475.1
• Dutra, E., Magnusson, L., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G., Boussetta, S. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) The 2010-2011 drought in the Horn of Africa in ECMWF reanalysis and seasonal forecast products. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (7). pp. 1720-1729. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3545
• Demeritt, D., Nobert, S. , Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) The European Flood Alert System and the communication, perception, and use of ensemble predictions for operational flood risk management. Hydrological Processes, 27 (1). pp. 147-157. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9419
• Cloke, H. L., Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Freer, J. E. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) Modelling climate impact on floods with ensemble climate projections. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (671 part B). pp. 282-297. ISSN 1477-870X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.1998
• Parkes, , B. L., Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F. , He, , Y., Malamud, B. D. and Cloke, H. (2013) Assessment of a 1 hour gridded precipitation dataset to drive a hydrological model: a case study of the summer 2007 floods in the Upper Severn, UK. Hydrology Research, 44 (1). pp. 89-105. ISSN 0029-1277 doi: https://doi.org/10.2166/nh.2011.025 (Vol 44 No 1 pp 89–105)
• He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Manful, D., Cloke, H. L., Bates, P., Wetterhall, F. and Parkes, B. (2013) Flood inundation dynamics and socioeconomic vulnerability under environmental change. In: Hossain, F. (ed.) Vulnerability of Water Resources to Climate. Climate Vulnerability, 5. Elsevier Sciences, pp. 241-255. doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-384703-4.00508-6
• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., van Andel, S. J., Schaake, J., Thielen, J. and Ramos, M.-H. (2013) Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS). Preface to special issue. Hydrological Processes, 27 (1). pp. 1-4. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9679
• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Thielen, J. and Thiemig, V. (2013) Operational flood forecasting in Europe. In: Wainwright, J. and Mulligan, M. (eds.) Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity. Wiley-Blackwell, New York, pp. 315-434. ISBN 9780470749111
• Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Bogner, K., Alfieri, L. and Cloke, H. (2013) Seamless forecasting of extreme events on a global scale. In: Climate and Land Surface Changes in Hydrology, H01, IAHS-IAPSO-IASPEI Assembly, Jul 2013, Gothenburg, Sweden,.

2012

• Dutra, E., Magnusson, L., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G., Boussetta, S. and Pappenberger, F., (2012) The 2010-2011 drought in the Horn of Africa. ECMWF Newsletters. 131. Technical Report. ECMWF (Spring 2012)
• Beven, K. J. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Comment on: Hyperresolution global land surface modeling: Meeting a grand challenge for monitoring Earth's terrestrial water by Eric F Wood et al. Water Resources Research, 48 (1). W01801. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR010982
• Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F., He, Y., Freer, J. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Conditioning model output statistics of regional climate model precipitation on circulation patterns. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 19. pp. 623-633. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-19-623-2012
• Pappenberger, F., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F. and Cloke, H.L. (2012) Deriving global flood hazard maps of fluvial floods through a physical model cascade. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16 (11). pp. 4143-4156. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-4143-2012
• Bogner, K., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., De Roo, A. and Thielen, J. (2012) Improving the evaluation of hydrological multi-model forecast performance in the Upper Danube Catchment. International Journal of River Basin Management, 10 (1). pp. 1-12. ISSN 1814-2060 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/15715124.2011.625359
• Balsamo, G., Albergel, A., Beljaars, A., Boussetta, S., Brun, E., Cloke, H. L. and Dee, D., (2012) Land: a global land-surface reanalysis based on ERA-interim meteorological forcing. ERA Report Series. 13. Technical Report. ECMWF
• Bogner, K., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Technical Note: The normal quantile transformation and its application in a flood forecasting system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16. pp. 1085-1094. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-16-1085-2012

2011

• De Roo, A., Thielen, J., Salamon, P., Bogner, K., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. L., Demeritt, D., Younis, J., Kalas, M., Bodis, K., Muraro, D. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Quality control, validation and user feedback of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS). International Journal of Digital Earth, 4 (1). pp. 77-90. ISSN 1753-8955 doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/17538947.2010.510302
• Bao, H.-J., Zhao, L.-N., He, Y., Li, Z.-J., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Manful, D. (2011) Coupling ensemble weather predictions based on TIGGE database with Grid-Xinanjiang model for flood forecast. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 61-67. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-29-61-2011
• Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Effects of temporal resolution of input precipitation on the performance of hydrological forecasting. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 21-25. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-29-21-2011
• Pappenberger, F., Bogner, K., Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. L. and Thielen, J. (2011) Forecast convergence score: a forecaster's approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 27-32. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-29-27-2011
• Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. L. (2011) HESS Opinions: On forecast (in)consistency in a hydro-meteorological chain: curse or blessing? Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 15 (7). pp. 2391-2400. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-15-2391-2011
• Cloke, H. L. and Hannah, D. M. (2011) Large-scale hydrology: advances in understanding processes, dynamics and models from beyond river basin to global scale. Preface to special issue. Hydrological Processes, 25 (7). pp. 991-995. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8059
• Cloke, H. L., Weisheimer, A. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Representing uncertainty in land surface hydrology: fully coupled simulations with the ECMWF land surface scheme. In: ECMWF/WMO/WCRP Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and Error in Numerical Weather and climate Prediction Models, 20-24 June 2011, ECMWF, Reading UK.

2010

• Cloke, H. L., Jeffers, C., Wetterhall, F., Byrne, T., Lowe, J. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Climate impacts on river flow: projections for the Medway catchment UK with UKCP09 and CATCHMOD. Hydrological Processes, 24 (24). pp. 3476-3489. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.7769
• Demeritt, D., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting. Meteorological Applications, 17 (2). pp. 209-222. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.194
• He, Y., Wetterhall, F., Bao, H., Cloke, H., Li, Z., Pappenberger, F., Hu, Y., Manful, D. and Huang, Y. (2010) Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 11 (2). pp. 132-138. ISSN 1530-261X doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/asl.270
• Nobert, S., Demeritt, D. and Cloke, H. (2010) Informing operational flood management with ensemble predictions: lessons from Sweden. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 3 (1). pp. 72-79. ISSN 1753-318X doi: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1753-318X.2009.01056.x
• Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G.-P. and Oki, T. (2010) Global runoff routing with the hydrological component of the ECMWF NWP system. International Journal of Climatology, 30. pp. 2155-2174. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.2028

2009

• Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2009) Ensemble flood forecasting: a review. Journal of Hydrology, 375 (3-4). pp. 613-626. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.005
• Cloke, H. L., (2009) Progress in the implementation of Hydrological Ensemble Prediction Systems (HEPS) in Europe for operational flood forecasting. ECMWF Newsletters. 121. Technical Report. ECMWF (Autumn 2009)
• He, Y., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Wilson, M., Freer, J. and McGregor, G. (2009) Tracking the uncertainty in flood alerts driven by grand ensemble weather predictions. Meteorological Applications, 16 (1). pp. 91-101. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.132

2008

• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Renaud, J.-P. (2008) Multi‐method global sensitivity analysis (MMGSA) for modelling floodplain hydrological processes. Hydrological Processes, 22 (11). pp. 1660-1674. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6734
• Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2008) Evaluating forecasts of extreme events for hydrological applications: an approach for screening unfamiliar performance measures. Meteorological Applications, 15 (1). pp. 181-197. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/met.58
• Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Renaud, J.-P. (2008) Multi-method global sensitivity analysis (MMGSA) for modelling floodplain hydrological processes. Hydrological Processes, 22 (11). pp. 1660-1674. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.6734
• Pappenberger, F., Bartholmes, J., Thielen, J., Cloke, H. L., Buizza, R. and de Roo, A. (2008) New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions. Geophysical Research Letters, 35. L10404. ISSN 1944–8007 doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL033837

2006

• Cloke, H. L., Anderson, M. G., McDonnell, J. J. and Renaud, J. -P. (2006) Using numerical modelling to evaluate the capillary fringe groundwater ridging hypothesis of streamflow generation. Journal of Hydrology, 316 (1-4). pp. 141-162. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2005.04.017

2003

• Cloke, H. L., Renaud, J.-P., Claxton, A. J., McDonnell, J. J., Anderson, M. G., Blake, J. R. and Bates, P. D. (2003) The effect of model configuration on modelled hillslope–riparian interactions. Journal of Hydrology, 279 (1-4). pp. 167-181. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0022-1694(03)00177-X

This list was generated on Fri Jul 19 21:45:06 2019 UTC.