Staff Profile:Professor Hannah Cloke
- Professor Hannah Cloke
- Job Title:
- Professor of Hydrology
- Research in Hydrological Processes and Modelling
- Undergraduate and Postgraduate Teaching
- Director of Hydrology@Reading.
- Areas of Interest:
- Catchment hydrology; Large scale hydrology
- Forecasting floods and droughts
- Land surface modelling and reanalysis
- Climate impact on water resources
- Forecast verification, uncertainty analysis
Postgraduate (PhD) Supervision:
Hannah is keen to discuss proposals for postgraduate research in the above areas.
Rebecca Emerton. Global flood forecasting and the implications of climate change on flood characteristics and flood forecasting. With ECMWF. Funded by NERC SCENARIO.
Azin Howells. Representing uncertainty in land surface hydrology for seasonal forecasting. Project IMPETUS: Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making. NERC Droughts Programme.
Brandon Parkes Developing a risk-based and participatory approach to reducing the uncertainty in modelling climate impact on flood inundation. King's College London (ESRC/NERC funded)
Chris Sampson Uncertainty in future flood risk for insurance markets. NERC-CASE. University of Bristol.
Postdoctoral Researchers and Research Fellows:
- Research groups / Centres:
- Department of Meteorology
- Walker Institute for Climate System Research
- Soil Research Centre
- Earth System Science Research Group
Hannah Cloke is a hydrologist and physical geographer specializing in land surface modelling, flood forecasting and catchment hydrology. She works closely with the Environment Agency, the Met Office, the Flood Forecasting Centre and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts as well as a wide range of other national and international partners. She advised government on the Jan/Feb 2014 floods crisis and provided substantial expert commentary in the media.
Hannah obtained a BSc (1999) and PhD (2003) in Geography from the University of Bristol. She then worked as a Research Associate at the European Commission Joint Research Centre in Ispra, Italy, working on the European Flood Alert System and then from 2004 lectured at in the Department of Geography at King’s College London. In 2012 she moved to the University of Reading; to a joint post between the Department of Geography and Environmental Science and the Department of Meteorology, where she is now Professor of Hydrology and Director of Hydrology@Reading
Hannah is currently a member of the of the Environment Agency-DEFRA R&D flood science programme advisory group. She is a member of the NERC Peer Review Panel C, Floods theme coordinator for the International Hydrological Programme (IHP): FRIEND network, and a committee member of the EGU Hydrology section: Catchment hydrology. She is on the editorial board of the journals Meteorological Applications and Hydrology and Earth System Sciences and is guest editor for Hydrological Processes.
Hannah is an active member of the HEPEX project and recently served on the British Hydrological Society committee.
Current Research projects:
- Project SINATRA: Susceptibility of catchments to Intense RAinfall and flooding. NERC Flooding From Intense Rainfall Programme. Hannah is Project Director of this large consortium grant. 2013-2017. See: Flooding From Intense Rainfall
- IMPETUS. Improving Predictions of Drought for User Decision-Making. NERC UK Droughts and Water Scarcity Programme. 2014-2017.
- DEFRA Catchment Modelling call - Developing more effective models for managing water from the local to the national scale from a risk and pollution perspective. Consortium led by CEH with Atkins, ADAS and the James Hutton Institute. 2014.
- Developing Enhanced impact MOdels for integration with Next generation NWP and climate outputs (DEMON). NERC – Storm Risk Mitigation Programme consortium grant, with University of Bristol, University of Reading, NOC, UK Met office.
- NWP water cycle verification with river discharge observations. 2011-2014. in collaboration with European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF).
Recently completed research projects:
- Improving the communication and use of ensemble flood predictions. 2011-2012. ESRC follow on grant with King's College London.
- Novel Early flood Warning System using grand ensemble weather predictions. (2009-2010) Innovation China-UK.
- Europeanizing Flood Forecasting and the Geographies of Risk and Science in the EU (2008-2011) ESRC
- Uncertainty Assessments of Flood Inundation Impacts: Using spatial climate change scenarios to drive an ensemble of distributed models for extreme conditions. (2007-2010) NERC FREE (Flood Risk from Extreme Events) programme.
YNumber of items: 31.
- Stephens, E. and Cloke, H. (2014) Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond). Geographical Journal. ISSN 1475-4959 doi: 10.1111/geoj.12103
- Ye, J., He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Manful, D. Y. and Li, Z. (2014) Evaluation of ECMWF medium-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation for river basins. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (682). pp. 1615-1628. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2243
- Mason, D. C., Giustarini, L., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Detection of flooded urban areas in high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar images using double scattering. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and GeoInformation, 28. pp. 150-159. ISSN 0303-2434 doi: 10.1016/j.jag.2013.12.002
- Pappenberger, F., Jendritzky, G., Staiger, H., Dutra, E., Di Giuseppe, F., Richardson, D. S. and Cloke, H. L. (2014) Global forecasting of thermal health hazards: the skill of probabilistic predictions of the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI). International Journal of Biometeorology. ISSN 1432-1254 doi: 10.1007/s00484-014-0843-3
- Souvignet, M., Laux, P., Freer, J., Cloke, H., Thinh, D. Q., Thuc, T., Cullmann, J., Nauditt, A., Flugel, W.-A., Kunstmann, H. and Ribbe, L. (2014) Recent climatic trends and linkages to river discharge in Central Vietnam. Hydrological Processes, 28 (4). pp. 1587-1601. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9693
- Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F., Alfieri, L., Cloke, H. L., Thielen-del Pozo, J., Balabanova, S., Daňhelka, J., Vogelbacher, A., Salamon, P., Carrasco, I., Cabrera-Tordera, A. J., Corzo-Toscano, M., Garcia-Padilla, M., Garcia-Sanchez, R. J., Ardilouze, C., Jurela, S., Terek, B., Csik, A., Casey, J., Stankūnavičius, G., Ceres, V., Sprokkereef, E., Stam, J., Anghel, E., Vladikovic, D., Alionte Eklund, C., Hjerdt, N., Djerv, H., Holmberg, F., Nilsson, J., Nyström, K., Sušnik, M., Hazlinger, M. and Holubecka, M. (2013) Forecasters priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts. Hydology and Earth System Sciences, 17. pp. 4389-4399. ISSN 1607-7938 doi: 10.5194/hess-17-4389-2013
- Parkes, B. L., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Neal, J. and Demeritt, D. (2013) Reducing inconsistencies in point observations of maximum flood inundation level. Earth Interactions, 17 (6). pp. 1-27. ISSN 1087-3562 doi: 10.1175/2012EI000475.1
- Dutra , E., Magnusson, L., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G., Boussetta, S. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) The 2010-2011 drought in the Horn of Africa in ECMWF reanalysis and seasonal forecast products. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (7). pp. 1720-1729. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.3545
- Demeritt, D., Nobert, S. , Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) The European Flood Alert System and the communication, perception, and use of ensemble predictions for operational flood risk management. Hydrological Processes, 27 (1). pp. 147-157. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9419
- Cloke, H. L., Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Freer, J. E. and Pappenberger, F. (2013) Modelling climate impact on floods with ensemble climate projections. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (671 part B). pp. 282-297. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1998
- Parkes, , B. L., Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F. , He, , Y., Malamud, B. D. and Cloke, H. (2013) Assessment of a 1 hour gridded precipitation dataset to drive a hydrological model: a case study of the summer 2007 floods in the Upper Severn, UK. Hydrology Research, 44 (1). pp. 89-105. ISSN 0029-1277 doi: 10.2166/nh.2011.025 (Vol 44 No 1 pp 89–105)
- He, Y., Pappenberger, F., Manful, D., Cloke, H. L., Bates, P., Wetterhall, F. and Parkes, B. (2013) Flood inundation dynamics and socioeconomic vulnerability under environmental change. In: Hossain, F. (ed.) Climate Vulnerability. Elsevier Sciences. (In Press)
- Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., Thielen, J. and Thiemig, V. (2013) Operational flood forecasting in Europe. In: Wainwright, J. and Mulligan, M. (eds.) Environmental Modelling: Finding Simplicity in Complexity. Wiley-Blackwell, New York, pp. 315-434. ISBN 9780470749111
- Beven, K. J. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Comment on "Hyperresolution global land surface modeling: meeting a grand challenge for monitoring Earth's terrestrial water" by Eric F. Wood et al. Water Resources Research, 48. W01801. ISSN 0043-1397 doi: 10.1029/2011WR010982
- Wetterhall, F., Pappenberger, F., He, Y., Freer, J. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Conditioning model output statistics of regional climate model precipitation on circulation patterns. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 19. pp. 623-633. ISSN 1023-5809 doi: 10.5194/npg-19-623-2012
- Pappenberger, F., Dutra, E., Wetterhall, F. and Cloke, H.L. (2012) Deriving global flood hazard maps of fluvial floods through a physical model cascade. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16 (11). pp. 4143-4156. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-16-4143-2012
- Bogner, K., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F., De Roo, A. and Thielen, J. (2012) Improving the evaluation of hydrological multi-model forecast performance in the Upper Danube Catchment. International Journal of River Basin Management, 10 (1). pp. 1-12. ISSN 1814-2060 doi: 10.1080/15715124.2011.625359
- Bogner, K., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. L. (2012) Technical Note: The normal quantile transformation and its application in a flood forecasting system. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 16. pp. 1085-1094. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-16-1085-2012
- De Roo, A., Thielen, J., Salamon, P., Bogner, K., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. L., Demeritt, D., Younis, J., Kalas, M., Bodis, K., Muraro, D. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Quality control, validation and user feedback of the European Flood Alert System (EFAS). International Journal of Digital Earth, 4 (1). pp. 77-90. ISSN 1753-8955 doi: 10.1080/17538947.2010.510302
- Bao, H.-J., Zhao, L.-N., He, Y., Li, Z.-J., Wetterhall, F., Cloke, H. L., Pappenberger, F. and Manful, D. (2011) Coupling ensemble weather predictions based on TIGGE database with Grid-Xinanjiang model for flood forecast. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 61-67. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-29-61-2011
- Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2011) Effects of temporal resolution of input precipitation on the performance of hydrological forecasting. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 21-25. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-29-21-2011
- Pappenberger, F., Bogner, K., Wetterhall, F., He, Y., Cloke, H. L. and Thielen, J. (2011) Forecast convergence score: a forecaster's approach to analysing hydro-meteorological forecast systems. Advances in Geosciences (ADGEO), 29. pp. 27-32. ISSN 1680-7340 doi: 10.5194/adgeo-29-27-2011
- Cloke, H. L., Weisheimer, A. and Pappenberger , F. (2011) Representing uncertainty in land surface hydrology: fully coupled simulations with the ECMWF land surface scheme. In: ECMWF/WMO/WCRP Workshop on Representing Model Uncertainty and Error in Numerical Weather and climate Prediction Models, 20-24 June 2011, ECMWF, Reading UK.
- Cloke, H. L., Jeffers, C., Wetterhall, F., Byrne, T., Lowe, J. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Climate impacts on river flow: projections for the Medway catchment UK with UKCP09 and CATCHMOD. Hydrological Processes, 24 (24). pp. 3476-3489. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.7769
- Demeritt, D., Nobert, S., Cloke, H. and Pappenberger, F. (2010) Challenges in communicating and using ensembles in operational flood forecasting. Meteorological Applications, 17 (2). pp. 209-222. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.194
- He, Y., Wetterhall, F., Bao, H., Cloke, H., Li, Z., Pappenberger, F., Hu, Y., Manful, D. and Huang, Y. (2010) Ensemble forecasting using TIGGE for the July-September 2008 floods in the Upper Huai catchment: a case study. Atmospheric Science Letters, 11 (2). pp. 132-138. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.270
- Nobert, S., Demeritt, D. and Cloke, H. (2010) Informing operational flood management with ensemble predictions: lessons from Sweden. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 3 (1). pp. 72-79. ISSN 1753-318X doi: 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2009.01056.x
- Pappenberger, F., Cloke, H. L., Balsamo, G.-P. and Oki, T. (2010) Global runoff routing with the hydrological component of the ECMWF NWP system. International Journal of Climatology, 30. pp. 2155-2174. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2028
- Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2009) Ensemble flood forecasting: a review. Journal of Hydrology, 375 (3-4). pp. 613-626. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.06.005
- Cloke, H. L. and Pappenberger, F. (2008) Evaluating forecasts of extreme events for hydrological applications: an approach for screening unfamiliar performance measures. Meteorological Applications, 15 (1). pp. 181-197. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.58
- Pappenberger, F., Bartholmes, J., Thielen, J., Cloke, H. L., Buizza, R. and de Roo, A. (2008) New dimensions in early flood warning across the globe using grand-ensemble weather predictions. Geophysical Research Letters, 35. L10404. ISSN 1944–8007 doi: 10.1029/2008GL033837