Department of Real Estate & Planning

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Pricing the Options Inherent in Leased Commercial  Property: a UK Case Study
Andrew Baum
Working Papers in Real Estate & Planning 09/03
pp 17

Abstract
This paper sets out the findings of a group of research and development projects carried out at the Department of Real Estate & Planning at the University of Reading and at Oxford Property Systems over the period 1999 – 2003.

The projects have several aims: these are to identify the fundamental drivers of the pricing of different lease terms in the UK property sector; to identify current and best market practice and uncover the 
main variations in lease terms; to identify key issues in pricing lease  terms; and to develop a model for the pricing of rent under a variety of lease variations.

From the landlord’s perspective, the main factors driving the required ‘compensation’ for a lease term amendment include  expected rental volatility, expected probability of tenant vacation,  and the expected costs of tenant vacation.  These data are used in  conjunction with simulation technology to reflect the options inherent in certain lease types to explore the required rent adjustment.  The resulting cash flows have interesting qualities which illustrate the potential importance of option pricing in a non-complex and practical way.
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